Value
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 2.6 |
| P/S | 9.6 |
| EV/EBITDA | 1.9 |
| Fwd P/E | 5.2 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 3.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 24.2x
- ▸PEG: 0.25
JBL · Why this verdict
Why Jabil (JBL) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.5/10
ConfidenceHIGH
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 10.0 |
| ROA | 3.6 |
| Gross margin | 0.0 |
| Op margin | 1.9 |
| Net margin | 1.2 |
| Current ratio | 4.0 |
| FCF quality | 10.0 |
| Moat | 6.0 |
| Piotroski F | 6.7 |
- ▸Excellent ROE: 60%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 149% FCF/NI
Growth
9.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 8.3 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
- ▸Strong growth: 23% YoY
Momentum
3.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 5.5 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 4.5 |
| MA position | 9.0 |
| Volume | 0.6 |
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 3.1 |
| erm sentiment | 5.0 |
- ▸Below analyst target
Insider
3.9/10data confidence 75%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 4.5 |
| insider conviction | 2.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Modest insider selling — $14,018,731 (0.038% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.1/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 7.3 |
| quality rank | 6.0 |
| growth rank | 7.1 |
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 4.1 |
| support resistance | 3.3 |
| 52w position | 8.9 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 8.6 |
| days to cover | 8.8 |
| volatility | 2.2 |
| put call | 5.3 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 3.0 |
| beta | 5.9 |
| debt equity | 1.7 |
- ▸High IV: 80%
- ▸Above max pain $175
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)
Catalyst
6.7/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 8.3 |
| dividend safety | 5.2 |
- ▸Perfect beat streak: 4Q
- ▸Earnings in 9 days
- ▸Dividend: 9.0%
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- 8K:CLEAN
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.9<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:-2.1=NEGATIVE
Warning (1)
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:9d<=14d (soft)
Reward-to-Risk
-2.11
Upside
-24.4%
Downside
11.5%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRANGE_BOUND — RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band
EdgeCATALYST — Earnings in 9d with 4/4 beat streak
SuitabilityMODERATE — Balanced profile
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 2.7 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Growth at 9.2) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:3.9<4.5, ASYMMETRY:-2.1=NEGATIVE) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is -2.11 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Growth at 9.2, Catalyst at 6.7, and Value at 5.5; the weakest are Insider at 3.9, Momentum at 3.9, and Risk (lower is worse) at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -2.11 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.