Skip to main content
JBLJabil Inc.Sell5.4·$383.55+1.77%
Open full analysis

Jabil Inc. (JBL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Technology · Electronic Components

Earnings in 5 days (2026-06-17). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $383.55, A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (16.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: China.

Jabil is a global manufacturing solutions provider offering engineering, production, and supply chain services across three segments: Regulated Industries, Intelligent Infrastructure, and Connected Living and Digital Commerce. With $29.8B in fiscal 2025 net revenues, it serves... Read more

$383.55-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#6 of 24 Electronic Components
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield3.03%
IncomeYield0.08%(5y avg 0.33%)Payout4.31%sustainable
Stop $357.08Target $378.91(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$348.33-9.2%9 analysts
$378.91our TP
$383.55price
$348.33mean
$287
$425

Sell if holding. At $383.55, A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (16.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: China. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jun 17, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (16.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: China
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)50.8
P/E (Fwd)25.7
Mkt Cap$39.8B
EV/EBITDA17.8
Profit Mgn2.5%
ROE59.7%
Rev Growth23.1%
Beta1.29
Dividend0.08%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV83%elevated
Max Pain$175-54.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerCustomer A16%
    10-K Item 1: 'Customer A (1) ... 16 | %'
  • MEDIUMCustomerfive largest customers36%
    10-K Item 1: 'our five largest customers accounted for approximately 36% of our net revenue'
  • HIGHGeographicChina
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant portion of our manufacturing, design, support and storage operations are conducted in our facilities in China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.4
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
9.9
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $321.92Resistance $386.64

Price Targets

$357
$379
A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-21.1% upside)
! momentum at 3.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-17 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $383.55, A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (16.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: China. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $357.08. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the JBL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $378.91 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $357.08. Stop-loss: $357.08.

What are the risks of investing in JBL?

Concentration risk — Customer: Customer A (16.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: China; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is JBL overvalued or undervalued?

Jabil Inc. trades at a P/E of 50.8 (forward 25.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBL?

17 analysts cover JBL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $348.

What does Jabil Inc. do?Jabil is a global manufacturing solutions provider offering engineering, production, and supply chain services across...

Jabil is a global manufacturing solutions provider offering engineering, production, and supply chain services across three segments: Regulated Industries, Intelligent Infrastructure, and Connected Living and Digital Commerce. With $29.8B in fiscal 2025 net revenues, it serves customers across healthcare, cloud/AI infrastructure, automotive, and consumer electronics in 100+ locations in 30 countries. Operations are concentrated in China, Malaysia, Mexico, and the United States.

Related stocks: APH (Amphenol Corporation) · CLS (Celestica, Inc.) · TEL (TE Connectivity plc) · FN (Fabrinet) · VICR (Vicor Corporation)
Home Stocks JBL

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga4d agoEarnings
Benzinga6d ago
Benzinga25d agoAnalyst
Benzinga26d ago
Benzinga32d ago
Benzinga56d agoAnalyst