ORIX screens as exceptionally cheap at a forward P/E of 3.3x and PEG near zero, with 28% revenue growth placing it among the highest-growth names in the peer group, but free cash flow is deeply negative relative to net income — a severe earnings quality red flag for a leveraged financial conglomerate — and weakening price momentum with active distribution makes the timing unfavorable despite the compelling valuation.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Valuation At Low Multiple→Stable
- Strong Revenue Growth Trajectory→Stable
- Negative Free Cash Flow Quality→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
ORIX Corporation (IX) Stock Analysis
Financial Services · Financial Conglomerates
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.40 — A.R:R is negative (-2.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.5% away).
ORIX Corporation provides financial services in Japan, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Corporate Financial Services and Maintenance Leasing; Real Estate; PE Investment and Concession; Environment and Energy; Insurance; Banking and Credit; Aircraft and... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.40 — A.R:R is negative (-2.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-31Recent Developments — ORIX Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS A Look at ORIX Corp (IX) After 11.6% Gain -- GF Value $39.94 vs Price $37.64 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS IX Biopharma Allots, Issues More Shares - Moomoo — Moomoo neutral
- NEWS Is ORIX Corp (IX) Overvalued After 8.9% Rally? GF Value Says Ove - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Are investors undervaluing Orix Corp ADS (IX) right now? - MSN — MSN positive
- NEWS Are investors undervaluing Orix Corp ADS (IX) right now? - msn.com — msn.com neutral
Generated 2026-07-31T05:48:31Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 ceiling hits
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.40 — A.R:R is negative (-2.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $38.42. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $40.18 (-16.9% upside). Prior stop was $38.42. Stop-loss: $38.42.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.5% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.
ORIX Corporation trades at a P/E of 16.0 (forward 3.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
16 analysts cover IX with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $40.
What does ORIX Corporation do?ORIX Corporation provides financial services in Japan, the United States, and internationally. It operates through...
ORIX Corporation provides financial services in Japan, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Corporate Financial Services and Maintenance Leasing; Real Estate; PE Investment and Concession; Environment and Energy; Insurance; Banking and Credit; Aircraft and Ships; ORIX USA; ORIX Europe; and Asia and Australia. The Corporate Financial Services and Maintenance Leasing segment is involved in the finance and fee; and leasing and rental of automobiles, electronic measuring instruments, and ICT-related equipment businesses. Its Real Estate segment develops, rents, and manages real estate properties; operates facilities; provides real estate asset management services. The PE Investment and Concession segment engages in the private equity investment and concession businesses. Its Environment and Energy segment provides ESCO, and recycling and waste management services; retails electric power; sells solar panels; and generates renewable energy power. The Insurance segment sells life insurance products through agents, banks, and other financial institutions, as well as face-to-face and online. Its Banking and Credit segment provides banking and consumer finance services. The Aircraft and Ships segment engages in the aircraft investment and management, ship-related finance and investment, maritime asset management, and ship brokerage businesses. Its ORIX USA segment offers finance, investment, asset management, and advisory services. The ORIX Europe segment provides asset management services for equity and fixed income. Its Asia and Australia segment engages in the finance and investment businesses. The company was formerly known as Orient Leasing Co., Ltd. and changed its name to ORIX Corporation in 1989. ORIX Corporation was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.