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INIOINNIO N.V.Sell5.7·$23.06+0.22%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

INNIO shows a strong 35% growth profile and industry-leading positioning, but extreme insider selling, a high leverage penalty, and a thin asymmetry setup with only light analyst coverage support caution on sizing.

Thesis pillars

  • Thin Asymmetry Narrow UpsideStable
  • Strong Growth ProfileStable
  • Extreme Insider SellingStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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INNIO N.V. (INIO) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.06: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Innio N.V., through its subsidiaries, provides power generation equipment and services under the Jenbacher and Waukesha brands. It operates in two segments, Equipment and Services. The Equipment segment designs, manufactures, and sells new engines, product-related equipment, and... Read more

$23.06+43.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#14 of 57 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $21.54Target $33.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$38.20+65.7%10 analysts
$33.23our TP
$23.06price
$38.20mean
$47

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.06: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-23
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202666d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)772.0
P/E (Fwd)29.4
Mkt Cap$17.4B
EV/EBITDA43.5
Profit Mgn0.8%
ROE
Rev Growth42.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV86%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.7
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.2
Value Rank
1.8
Growth Rank
9.3
Industry growth leader

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.4
Operating Margin
1.9
Gross Margin
2.7
Current Ratio
4.8
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5INSIDER 15.46%=EXTREMEA.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $21.69Resistance $29.34

Price Targets

$22
$33
A.Upside+43.5%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 15.46%=extreme

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INIO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $23.06: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 2.9:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $21.54. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INIO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.23 (+43.5% upside). Prior stop was $21.54. Stop-loss: $21.54.

What are the risks of investing in INIO?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is INIO overvalued or undervalued?

INNIO N.V. trades at a P/E of 772.0 (forward 29.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INIO?

14 analysts cover INIO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $38.

What does INNIO N.V. do?Innio N.V., through its subsidiaries, provides power generation equipment and services under the Jenbacher and Waukesha...

Innio N.V., through its subsidiaries, provides power generation equipment and services under the Jenbacher and Waukesha brands. It operates in two segments, Equipment and Services. The Equipment segment designs, manufactures, and sells new engines, product-related equipment, and related solutions for data center, power solutions, and compression end-markets. The Services segment provides aftermarket services through an engine's lifecycle, including service agreements, spare parts, overhauls, remanufacturing of engines and components, digital solutions, and service-related activities, as well as maintenance and replacement of parts. It also operates Myplant, an AI-enabled fleet management platform. Th company operates in Germany, rest of Europe, the United States, rest of North America, and internationally. Innio N.V. was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany. Innio N.V. operates as a subsidiary of AI Alpine (Luxembourg) S.à r.l.

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