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GMABGenmab A/SSell5.4·$32.49+0.82%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A high-quality biotech franchise with 25% revenue growth, strong margins, and a risk/reward ratio of approximately 5-to-1 is navigating a phase of technical deterioration — including a death cross and two consecutive earnings misses — that represents a near-term headwind rather than a structural change, provided quality fundamentals remain intact.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Durable MarginsStable
  • Strong Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Favorable Risk Reward AsymmetryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Genmab A/S (GMAB) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. At $32.49, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of cancer and other diseases in Denmark. The company markets EPKINLY and TEPKINLY for adult patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) diffuse large b-cell lymphoma... Read more

$32.49+4.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#96 of 259 Biotechnology
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.36%
Stop $30.89Target $33.81(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$38.86+19.6%11 analysts
$33.81our TP
$32.49price
$38.86mean
$44

Sell if holding. At $32.49, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-14

Recent Developments — Genmab A/S

Generated 2026-09-14T08:32:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.8 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 4.1%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.6
P/E (Fwd)20.4
Mkt Cap$20.0B
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn19.1%
ROE14.0%
Rev Growth24.9%
Beta0.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.80bearish
IV89%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.14Resistance $34.66

Price Targets

$31
$34
A.Upside+4.1%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GMAB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $32.49, A.R:R 0.8:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 4.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $30.89. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GMAB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $33.81 (+4.1% upside). Prior stop was $30.89. Stop-loss: $30.89.

What are the risks of investing in GMAB?

Thin upside margin: 4.1%; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is GMAB overvalued or undervalued?

Genmab A/S trades at a P/E of 25.6 (forward 20.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GMAB?

27 analysts cover GMAB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Genmab A/S do?Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of...

Genmab A/S, a biotechnology company, develops antibody-based products and product candidates for the treatment of cancer and other diseases in Denmark. The company markets EPKINLY and TEPKINLY for adult patients with relapsed or refractory (R/R) diffuse large b-cell lymphoma (DLBCL), large B-cell lymphoma, and follicular lymphoma (FL); and Tivdak for adult patients with recurrent/metastatic cervical cancer with disease progression on or after chemotherapy. It is also developing Epcoritamab for R/R DLBCL and FL, first line DLBCL and FL, B-cell non-Hodgkin lymphoma, R/R chronic lymphocytic leukemia and Richter's syndrome, and aggressive mature B-cell neoplasms in pediatric patients; tisotumab vedotin for solid tumors; Acasunlimab for solid tumors and non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC); Rinatabart Sesutecan for platinum resistant ovarian cancer and solid tumors; GEN1059, GEN1055, and GEN1057 for solid tumors; and GEN1286 for advanced solid tumors. In addition, the company offers DARZALEX/DARZALEX FASPRO for multiple myeloma (MM) and light-chain Amyloidosis; RYBREVANT for NSCLC; TECVAYLI and TALVEY for R/R MM; Kesimpta for Relapsing multiple sclerosis; and TEPEZZA for thyroid eye disease. Further, it is developing Amivantamab for recurrent/metastatic head and neck cancer, and advanced or metastatic colorectal cancer; Amlenetug for multiple system atrophy; Inclacumab for vaso-occulsive crises in sickle cell diseases; and Mim8 for hemophilia A. The company has a collaboration agreement with AbbVie Inc., Pfizer Inc., BioNTech SE, Johnson & Johnson, Medarex, Inc., Bristol Myers Squibb Corporation, Lundbeck A/S, Amgen Inc., Novo Nordisk A/S, and argenx. Genmab A/S was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Related stocks: HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · ASND (Ascendis Pharma A/S) · INCY (Incyte Corporation) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc)
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