Skip to main content
CALCaleres, Inc.Sell5.5·$13.62+5.66%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Caleres already trades essentially at its analyst target and carries quality metrics below the engine's floor, with a red-flag cash-flow read and a bearish insider signal offsetting cheap headline valuation and improving momentum.

Thesis pillars

  • Target Price Already ReachedDeteriorating
  • Quality Below Engine FloorStable
  • Overbought Momentum Fade RiskImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Caleres, Inc. (CAL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.62: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.62; Below-average business quality.

Caleres, Inc. is a global footwear company operating retail stores and e-commerce through two segments — Famous Footwear (821 stores) and Brand Portfolio, which designs and distributes owned and licensed brands including Sam Edelman, Naturalizer, Allen Edmonds, and the newly... Read more

$13.62+6.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 17 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.69%
IncomeYield2.17%(5y avg 1.36%)Payout43.75%sustainable
Stop $12.67Target $14.45(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$17.00+24.8%2 analysts
$14.45our TP
$13.62price
$17.00mean
$18

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.62: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.62; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 10, 202618d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.0
Mkt Cap$457M
EV/EBITDA11.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-0.3%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta0.77
Dividend2.17%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.63bearish
IV79%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWSupplierNike, Skechers, and adidas24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Products purchased from three key third-party suppliers (Nike, Skechers and adidas) represented approximately 24% of consolidated net sales in 2025.'
  • LOWSupplierChina (sourcing)20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 20% of the footwear we sourced in 2025 was from China.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-20Item 5.02LOW
    Daniel L. Karpel, interim CFO since January 21, 2026, was appointed permanent Chief Financial Officer effective May 20, 2026, and will serve as principal financial and accounting officer. Compensation includes a $550,000 base salary and 65% target bonus.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
1.2
Operating Margin
1.3
Current Ratio
4.1
Moat
4.4
Gross Margin
4.8
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -487% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.2
Volatility
1.0
Days To Cover
1.3
Short Interest
3.9
Debt Equity
3.9
Beta
8.4
Elevated put/call: 2.62High IV: 79%
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 18d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.10Resistance $14.93

Price Targets

$13
$14
A.Upside+6.1%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-10 (18d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CAL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.62: Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 12%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.62; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $12.67. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CAL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.45 (+6.1% upside). Prior stop was $12.67. Stop-loss: $12.67.

What are the risks of investing in CAL?

Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0).

Is CAL overvalued or undervalued?

Caleres, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CAL?

6 analysts cover CAL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Caleres, Inc. do?Caleres, Inc. is a global footwear company operating retail stores and e-commerce through two segments — Famous...

Caleres, Inc. is a global footwear company operating retail stores and e-commerce through two segments — Famous Footwear (821 stores) and Brand Portfolio, which designs and distributes owned and licensed brands including Sam Edelman, Naturalizer, Allen Edmonds, and the newly acquired Stuart Weitzman. Women's footwear made up 61% of 2025 net sales, and the company's top three branded suppliers — Nike, Skechers, and adidas — accounted for approximately 24% of consolidated net sales.

Related stocks: BKE (Buckle, Inc. (The)) · CRI (Carter's, Inc.) · AEO (American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.) · SHOE (Shoe Station Group, Inc.) · REF (Reformation Inc.)
Home Stocks CAL

Latest news

No recent news