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BLKBBlackbaud, Inc.Sell5.7·$27.31-2.11%
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Blackbaud, Inc. (BLKB) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.31: Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 5.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below long-term trend.

Blackbaud provides cloud software and payment processing services to nonprofits, educational institutions, foundations, and corporate social responsibility programs, generating approximately 64% of revenue from contractual recurring subscriptions and 34% from transactional fees... Read more

$27.31+62.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#42 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield15.96%
Stop $25.79Target $44.37(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.0:1
Analyst target$51.00+86.7%5 analysts
$44.37our TP
$27.31price
$51.00mean
$65

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.31: Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 5.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Blackbaud, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.5
P/E (Fwd)4.8
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE418.7%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta1.01
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.25bearish
IV157%elevated
Max Pain$25-8.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 6.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
3.4
Days To Cover
4.9
Max Pain Risk
5.0
Beta
7.0
Elevated put/call: 2.25High IV: 157%

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $26.59Resistance $33.08

Price Targets

$26
$44
A.Upside+62.5%
A.R:R5.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0)
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is BLKB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $27.31: Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10 and A.R:R 5.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 13%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $25.79. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the BLKB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.37 (+62.6% upside). Prior stop was $25.79. Stop-loss: $25.79.

What are the risks of investing in BLKB?

Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0).

Is BLKB overvalued or undervalued?

Blackbaud, Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.5 (forward 4.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about BLKB?

10 analysts cover BLKB with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Blackbaud, Inc. do?Blackbaud provides cloud software and payment processing services to nonprofits, educational institutions, foundations,...

Blackbaud provides cloud software and payment processing services to nonprofits, educational institutions, foundations, and corporate social responsibility programs, generating approximately 64% of revenue from contractual recurring subscriptions and 34% from transactional fees including donation processing and tuition management. Most customers operate on three-year contracts with mid-to-high single-digit price increases at renewal; approximately 40% of contracts are due for renewal in 2026.

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