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ATROAstronics CorporationSell5.5·$77.22-19.56%
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Astronics Corporation (ATRO) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $77.22 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5.

Astronics Corporation designs and manufactures advanced electronics for aerospace and defense through two segments: Aerospace and Test Systems, with 2025 Aerospace sales split 75% commercial transport, 15% military, and 9% general aviation. Consolidated backlog reached $674.5... Read more

$77.22+3.0% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#21 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-0.06%
Stop $72.59Target $79.50(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$91.38+18.3%5 analysts
$79.50our TP
$77.22price
$91.38mean
$55
$107

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $77.22 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)94.1
P/E (Fwd)30.7
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA30.8
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE21.2%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV503%elevated
Max Pain$115+48.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerBoeing10%
    10-K Item 1A: 'we had a concentration of sales to Boeing representing approximately 10.4%, 10.2%, and 11.0% of our sales, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
3.4
Quality Rank
6.0
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.83Resistance $99.89

Price Targets

$73
$80
A.Upside+3.0%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (3.0% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATRO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $77.22 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $72.59. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.

What is the ATRO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.50 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $72.59. Stop-loss: $72.59.

What are the risks of investing in ATRO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.3), Negative free cash flow.

Is ATRO overvalued or undervalued?

Astronics Corporation trades at a P/E of 94.1 (forward 30.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ATRO?

11 analysts cover ATRO with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $91.

What does Astronics Corporation do?Astronics Corporation designs and manufactures advanced electronics for aerospace and defense through two segments:...

Astronics Corporation designs and manufactures advanced electronics for aerospace and defense through two segments: Aerospace and Test Systems, with 2025 Aerospace sales split 75% commercial transport, 15% military, and 9% general aviation. Consolidated backlog reached $674.5 million at December 31, 2025, with Boeing representing 10.4% of total 2025 sales and approximately 15% coming from U.S. government-related markets.

Related stocks: FTAI (FTAI Aviation Ltd.) · VVX (V2X, Inc.) · EMBJ (Embraer S.A.) · VSEC (VSE Corporation) · CDRE (Cadre Holdings, Inc.)
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