The company has beaten consensus estimates in each of the last four quarters at an average 12.5% positive surprise, and about 15.5% of headroom remains to the near-term target at a risk/reward of roughly 2.3-to-1; however, elevated leverage at 2.6x debt-to-equity and free cash flow converting at only 40% of net income constrain financial flexibility, and the stock is pulling back below its 200-day moving average while that average remains upward-sloping.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Beat Streak Strong Surprise→Stable
- Favorable Risk Reward And Analyst Upside↑Improving
- Elevated Leverage Weak Fcf Conversion→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Atmus Filtration Technologies I (ATMU) Stock Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $45.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Atmus Filtration Technologies makes filtration products under the Fleetguard brand for on-highway and off-highway commercial vehicles and equipment. Net sales of $1,764.3 million in 2025 were approximately 86% aftermarket and 14% OEM first-fit, with Cummins (18.8%), PACCAR... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $45.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-14Recent Developments — Atmus Filtration Technologies I
Latest news
- NEWS Atmus Filtration Technologies (ATMU) Recently Broke Out Above the 200-Day Moving Average - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Atmus Filtration Technologies (ATMU) Recently Broke Out Above the 200-Day Moving Average - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
- NEWS Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc (ATMU) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages - Trading — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc (ATMU) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages - trading — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS ATMU (Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.) notches 15.1 percent Q4 2025 EPS beat, lifting shares 3.8 percent in today’s t — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai positive
Generated 2026-09-14T07:32:34Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 1.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $45.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $43.76. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $56.72 (+24.9% upside). Prior stop was $43.76. Stop-loss: $43.76.
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Atmus Filtration Technologies I trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover ATMU with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $65.
What does Atmus Filtration Technologies I do?Atmus Filtration Technologies makes filtration products under the Fleetguard brand for on-highway and off-highway...
Atmus Filtration Technologies makes filtration products under the Fleetguard brand for on-highway and off-highway commercial vehicles and equipment. Net sales of $1,764.3 million in 2025 were approximately 86% aftermarket and 14% OEM first-fit, with Cummins (18.8%), PACCAR (16.3%), and the Traton Group (11.5%) as the top three customers, together representing about 47% of net sales.