Ares Management ranks among the fastest-growing firms in its industry with 28% revenue growth and converts earnings to free cash flow at 2.8 times net income, yet three earnings misses in the past four quarters, elevated leverage, and an unfavorable risk/reward at the current price argue for patience over adding exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
- Three Of Four Quarters Missed↑Improving
- Leverage Penalty And High Short Interest→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Financial Services · Asset Management
Wait for pullback to $116.55. At $124.12 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $116.55 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.
Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity strategies from over 55 offices in 25-plus countries. The firm earns management fees and performance-based income from over 2,850 direct institutional... Read more
Wait for pullback to $116.55. At $124.12 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $116.55 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-31Recent Developments — Ares Management Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Ares Management Gears Up for Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Ares Management Gears Up for Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect - tradingview.com — tradingview.com neutral
- NEWS Ares Capital: Q2 Earnings Snapshot - KTVB — KTVB neutral
- NEWS Analysts Are Bullish on Top Financial Stocks: Ares Management (ARES), Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
- NEWS Analysts’ Opinions Are Mixed on These Financial Stocks: Ares Management (ARES), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Zions Bancorporati — The Globe and Mail neutral
Generated 2026-07-31T03:33:46Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerARCC10-K Item 1A: 'we derive a significant portion of our management fees from ARCC'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $116.55. At $124.12 the A.R:R is 0.3:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $116.55 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $127.25 (+2.5%), stop $107.39 (−15.6%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $127.25 (+2.5% upside). Target $127.25 (+2.5%), stop $107.39 (−15.6%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $107.39.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.
Ares Management Corporation trades at a P/E of 58.8 (forward 17.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
23 analysts cover ARES with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $141.
What does Ares Management Corporation do?Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity...
Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity strategies from over 55 offices in 25-plus countries. The firm earns management fees and performance-based income from over 2,850 direct institutional relationships and a growing retail investor base across publicly-traded funds and perpetual vehicles.