Skip to main content
ARESAres Management CorporationSell5.6·$134.90+1.57%
Open full analysis

Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $134.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.

Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity strategies from over 55 offices in 25-plus countries. The firm earns management fees and performance-based income from over 2,850 direct institutional... Read more

$134.90-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#47 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.95%
IncomeYield4.00%(5y avg 2.72%)Payout217.05%at-risk
Stop $125.46Target $134.75(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$145.24+7.7%17 analysts
$134.75our TP
$134.90price
$145.24mean
$125
$190

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $134.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)62.2
P/E (Fwd)18.4
Mkt Cap$44.5B
EV/EBITDA35.5
Profit Mgn10.5%
ROE14.2%
Rev Growth28.3%
Beta1.52
Dividend4.00%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerARCC
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derive a significant portion of our management fees from ARCC'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.4
52w Position
4.2
Gap
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 400.0%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.7
Quality Rank
4.2
Growth Rank
8.5
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $118.81Resistance $137.50

Price Targets

$125
$135
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARES stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $134.90 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Prior stop was $125.46. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ARES stock price target?

Take-profit target: $134.75 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $125.46. Stop-loss: $125.46.

What are the risks of investing in ARES?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is ARES overvalued or undervalued?

Ares Management Corporation trades at a P/E of 62.2 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ARES?

23 analysts cover ARES with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $145.

What does Ares Management Corporation do?Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity...

Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity strategies from over 55 offices in 25-plus countries. The firm earns management fees and performance-based income from over 2,850 direct institutional relationships and a growing retail investor base across publicly-traded funds and perpetual vehicles.

Related stocks: OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Cor) · VCTR (Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ) · AMP (Ameriprise Financial, Inc.) · SEIC (SEI Investments Company) · AMG (Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.)
Home Stocks ARES

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga3d agoCONCERN
The Globe and Mail47d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance54d ago
Investing.com55d agoAnalyst
Investing.com55d agoAnalyst
Barron's48d agoEarnings
MarketBeat48d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance48d agoEarnings
MarketBeat48d ago
AlphaStreet48d agoEarnings
GuruFocus48d ago
MarketBeat49d ago
Quiver Quantitative55d ago
MarketBeat55d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance55d ago
MarketBeat56d agoAnalyst
Investing.com46d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail46d agoAnalyst
Sahm53d ago
Yahoo Finance53d ago
Loading more...