Ares Management ranks among the fastest-growing firms in its industry with 28% revenue growth and converts earnings to free cash flow at 2.8 times net income, yet three earnings misses in the past four quarters, elevated leverage, and an unfavorable risk/reward at the current price argue for patience over adding exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
- Three Of Four Quarters Missed→Stable
- Leverage Penalty And High Short Interest↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026
Ares Management Corporation (ARES) Stock Analysis
Financial Services · Asset Management
Wait for pullback to $117.04. At $123.82 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $117.04 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.
Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity strategies from over 55 offices in 25-plus countries. The firm earns management fees and performance-based income from over 2,850 direct institutional... Read more
Wait for pullback to $117.04. At $123.82 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $117.04 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Ares Management Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Ares Management Gears Up for Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Ares Management Gears Up for Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
- NEWS Ares Management Gears Up for Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Ares Management Gears Up for Q2 Earnings: Here's What to Expect - tradingview.com — tradingview.com neutral
- NEWS Ares Capital: Q2 Earnings Snapshot - KTVB — KTVB neutral
Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:31Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomerARCC10-K Item 1A: 'we derive a significant portion of our management fees from ARCC'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $117.04. At $123.82 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $117.04 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $130.23 (+5.2%), stop $109.72 (−12.9%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $130.23 (+5.2% upside). Target $130.23 (+5.2%), stop $109.72 (−12.9%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $109.72.
Thin upside margin: 5.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.7): -1.0.
Ares Management Corporation trades at a P/E of 57.1 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
26 analysts cover ARES with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $145.
What does Ares Management Corporation do?Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity...
Ares Management Corporation manages $622.5 billion in AUM across Credit, Real Assets, Secondaries, and Private Equity strategies from over 55 offices in 25-plus countries. The firm earns management fees and performance-based income from over 2,850 direct institutional relationships and a growing retail investor base across publicly-traded funds and perpetual vehicles.