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ABVXAbivax SASell6.1·$88.08+21.49%
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Abivax SA (ABVX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.08: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

ABIVAX Société Anonyme, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops therapeutics that harness the body's natural regulatory mechanisms to stabilize the immune response in patients with chronic inflammatory diseases. Its lead drug candidate includes obefazimod, which is in... Read more

$88.08+53.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#20 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.98%
Stop $81.45Target $134.59(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$154.70+75.6%10 analysts
$134.59our TP
$88.08price
$154.70mean
$176

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.08: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 110d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Sep 21, 2026110d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -1.7%), High leverage (D/E 4.1), Material insider selling (14 sells, 0.03% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-25.1
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA-20.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-157.1%
Rev Growth35.2%
Beta-0.19
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.62bullish
IV118%elevated
Max Pain$70-20.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.9

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.8
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -2327% of revenueRule of 40: -2291 (fail)
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 110d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
34 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.81Resistance $135.07

Price Targets

$81
$135
A.Upside+52.8%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -1.7%), High leverage (D/E 4.1), Material insider selling (14 sells, 0.03% of cap)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-21 (110d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ABVX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.08: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $81.45. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ABVX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $134.59 (+53.7% upside). Prior stop was $81.45. Stop-loss: $81.45.

What are the risks of investing in ABVX?

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (3/5): Margin compression (op margin -1.7%), High leverage (D/E 4.1), Material insider selling (14 sells, 0.03% of cap).

Is ABVX overvalued or undervalued?

Abivax SA trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ABVX?

14 analysts cover ABVX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $155.

What does Abivax SA do?ABIVAX Société Anonyme, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops therapeutics that harness the body's natural...

ABIVAX Société Anonyme, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, develops therapeutics that harness the body's natural regulatory mechanisms to stabilize the immune response in patients with chronic inflammatory diseases. Its lead drug candidate includes obefazimod, which is in Phase 3 clinical development for the treatment of moderately to severely active UC, as well as Phase 2b clinical trials for Crohn's disease. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Paris, France.

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