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ZTSZoetis Inc.Buy Wait5.3·$77.80
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Zoetis is a high-quality animal health business with 68% return on equity, 28% net margins, and a 3-for-4 earnings beat streak — but an extraordinary put-to-call ratio of 18.50, a confirmed death-cross technical pattern, and heavy concentration in companion animal products (70%) create a profile where the long-term quality case is strong but the near-term setup is unusually risky.

Thesis pillars

  • Top Decile Quality Metrics→Stable
  • Companion Animal Concentration 70pct↓Deteriorating
  • Extreme Put Call Ratio Warning↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Zoetis Inc. (ZTS) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $69.71. Price sits above the model's entry target of $69.71; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (54.0%); Concentration risk — Product: companion animal products (70.0%).

Zoetis discovers and commercializes animal health medicines, vaccines, and diagnostics across eight species, organized into U.S. ($5,097 million, 54% of 2025 revenue) and International ($4,254 million, 45%) segments. Companion animal products — led by Simparica/Trio, Apoquel,... Read more

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.27%
IncomeYield2.62%(5y avg 0.93%)Payout33.88%sustainable
Entry $69.71(support + ATR (held))Stop $66.71Analyst target $77.10(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$88.62+13.9%13 analysts
$77.80price
$88.62mean
$115

Wait for pullback to $69.71. Price sits above the model's entry target of $69.71; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (54.0%); Concentration risk — Product: companion animal products (70.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-0.9% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Zoetis Inc.

About Zoetis Inc.

Zoetis generated $5,097 million in U.S. revenue and $4,254 million in international revenue during fiscal 2025, representing 54% and 45% of consolidated sales respectively, with companion animal products contributing approximately 70% of total revenue. The five top-selling product lines — Simparica/Simparica Trio, Apoquel/Apoquel Chewable, Cytopoint, Librela, and the ceftiofur line — contributed 42% of 2025 revenue collectively, and the top ten product lines reached 57%. The company directly markets products in approximately 45 countries, with sales in more than 100 countries overall.

Zoetis sells through veterinarians and livestock producers via direct sales forces, with no single distributor named as dominant in the filing. Companion animal revenue, at 70% of total sales, is concentrated in three therapeutic categories: dermatology (Apoquel, Cytopoint), parasiticides (Simparica/Simparica Trio), and pain management (Librela, Solensia). Livestock revenue, at approximately 29% of total, includes $713 million in antibacterial sales in 2025, subject to use restrictions across the U.S., EU, U.K., China, and Vietnam. Multiple companies have launched generics against Rimadyl chewable and Draxxin; U.S. sales of Draxxin fell 66% since generic entry and Rimadyl chewable fell 39%, illustrating the loss-of-exclusivity risk embedded in the livestock portfolio. The company does not rely on a single distributor and markets products through veterinary practices, wholesalers, and internet-based retailers.

Show full overview

The top-five product line dependency represents the most concentrated earnings exposure: Simparica/Simparica Trio at 16% of 2025 revenue and Apoquel/Apoquel Chewable at 12% together account for 28%, with Cytopoint, Librela, and the ceftiofur line bringing the top-five total to 42%. The 10-K identifies safety concerns, manufacturing disruption, regulatory proceedings, or competing product introductions as risks that could have a more significant impact to results of operations for these specific lines. Any single adverse event in this product tier — safety labeling change, supply disruption, or accelerated generic entry — could materially shift reported earnings, making these franchises both the core revenue pillar and the primary concentration risk.

See also: Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

From Zoetis Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (54.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: companion animal products (70.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.8
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$32.1B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn27.7%
ROE64.9%
Rev Growth-0.2%
Beta0.74
Dividend2.62%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.18bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$40-48.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States54%
    10-K Item 1: 'United States (U.S.) with revenue of $5,097 million, or 54% of total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHProductcompanion animal products70%
    10-K Item 1: 'Companion animal products represented approximately 70% of our revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMProducttop five product lines42%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our five top-selling products and product lines...contributed approximately 42% of our revenue in 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-22Item 5.02LOW
    Louise M. Parent retired from the Zoetis Board of Directors effective May 20, 2026, prior to the 2026 Annual Meeting, in accordance with the company's director retirement policy. No reason cited beyond policy compliance. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-22Item 5.07LOW
    Zoetis held its 2026 Annual Meeting on May 20, 2026 with 379,034,516 shares present (90.13% of voting power). Shareholders voted on five proposals as described in the April 8, 2026 proxy statement. Routine AGM; no contested matters noted.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -0.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
2.2
Revenue Growth
2.5
Declining revenue: -0%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.7
Support Resistance
3.3
Bollinger
4.0
Gap
6.0
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $68.77Resistance $82.29

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.9%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.9% upside)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZTS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $69.71. Price sits above the model's entry target of $69.71; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (54.0%); Concentration risk — Product: companion animal products (70.0%). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-0.9% upside). Wait for pullback. Analyst target $77.10 reached (−0.9%), stop $66.71 (−16.6%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ZTS stock price target?

Analyst target $77.10 reached (−0.9% from $77.80); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $77.10 reached (−0.9%), stop $66.71 (−16.6%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $66.71.

What are the risks of investing in ZTS?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (54.0%); Concentration risk — Product: companion animal products (70.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is ZTS overvalued or undervalued?

Zoetis Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.8 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ZTS?

23 analysts cover ZTS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $89.

What does Zoetis Inc. do?Zoetis discovers and commercializes animal health medicines, vaccines, and diagnostics across eight species, organized...

Zoetis discovers and commercializes animal health medicines, vaccines, and diagnostics across eight species, organized into U.S. ($5,097 million, 54% of 2025 revenue) and International ($4,254 million, 45%) segments. Companion animal products — led by Simparica/Trio, Apoquel, Cytopoint, and Librela — drove approximately 70% of 2025 revenue, with the five top-selling lines collectively accounting for 42%.

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