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ZTSZoetis Inc.Sell5.8·$78.11-1.68%
ZTS · Why this verdict

Why Zoetis (ZTS) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score5.8/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E8.4
P/S7.9
EV/EBITDA5.9
Fwd P/E9.2
PEG4.6
Analyst target9.0
  • Forward P/E: 10.7x
  • PEG: 1.91
  • Attractively valued

Quality

8.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE10.0
ROA10.0
Gross margin10.0
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio9.8
FCF quality5.1
Moat6.4
Rule of 403.0
Piotroski F8.9
  • Excellent ROE: 68%
  • Strong margins: 28%
  • Earnings quality warning: 67% FCF/NI
  • Rule of 40: 22 (fail)

Growth

3.2/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth3.2
EPS growth3.2

Momentum

5.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI4.5
MACD10.0
OBV10.0
MA position4.0
Volume0.0
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Sentiment

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
LLM sentiment3.9
Analyst rating7.4
Price target9.7
  • Analyst upside: 59%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.1
  • Negligible insider buying — $886,367 (0.003% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.7/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.7
quality rank9.3
growth rank3.7
  • Attractive P/E vs peers
  • Superior ROE vs peers

Technical

3.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger4.8
support resistance4.2
52w position0.0

Risk (lower is worse)

5.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest8.2
days to cover9.1
volatility4.5
put call0.0
implied vol5.0
max pain risk7.0
beta8.6
debt equity2.1
  • Elevated put/call: 9.80
  • Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

5.6/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm3.5
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg3.6
dividend safety7.0
news activity8.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M
  • Dividend: 267.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_SELL
Passed (9)
  • MOMENTUM:5.7>=5.5
  • ASYMMETRY:5.8>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • DEATH_CROSS:QUALITY_MOMENTUM_EXEMPT
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)

none

Warning (1)
  • DEATH_CROSS:quality=8.3>=7.5+momentum=5.7>=5.0 exempted
Reward-to-Risk
5.85
Upside
+43.4%
Downside
7.4%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRECOVERY Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 5.3 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Quality at 8.3) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Current asymmetry R:R is 5.85 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.

The strongest dimensions are Quality at 8.3, Value at 7.5, and Sentiment at 6.9; the weakest are Technical at 3.0, Growth at 3.2, and Peer rank at 4.7. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 5.85 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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