York Space Systems Inc. (YSS) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.15: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 22.33; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
York Space Systems is a U.S.-based space and defense prime contractor providing spacecraft platforms, satellite software, and mission operations primarily to the Space Development Agency (SDA). As of December 31, 2025, YSS had ~$543M backlog for 107 spacecraft; the SDA accounted... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.15: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 22.33; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCustomerSDA10-K Item 1A: 'the SDA accounted for substantially all of our revenue and backlog'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-14Item 5.02LOWJanine A. Davidson (age 59, president of Metropolitan State University of Denver, former U.S. Navy undersecretary) appointed to Board as Class II director and Audit Committee member effective April 10, 2026.SEC filing →
- 2026-01-30Item 1.01LOWYork Space Systems priced IPO at $34.00/share on Jan 28, 2026, entering underwriting agreement with Goldman Sachs, Jefferies, and Wells Fargo Securities for 18.5M shares plus 2.775M share overallotment option. IPO closed Jan 30, 2026.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Unprofitable operations — net margin -21.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $24.15: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 2.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 22.33; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $22.69. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $31.61 (+31.6% upside). Prior stop was $22.69. Stop-loss: $22.69.
Concentration risk — Customer: SDA; Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-31.5% YoY), Margin compression (op margin -2.0%).
York Space Systems Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 51.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover YSS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $36.
What does York Space Systems Inc. do?York Space Systems is a U.S.-based space and defense prime contractor providing spacecraft platforms, satellite...
York Space Systems is a U.S.-based space and defense prime contractor providing spacecraft platforms, satellite software, and mission operations primarily to the Space Development Agency (SDA). As of December 31, 2025, YSS had ~$543M backlog for 107 spacecraft; the SDA accounted for substantially all revenue under firm-fixed-price production contracts.