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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Yelp is a high-quality local advertising platform with a 9-out-of-9 Piotroski F-Score, 203% free cash flow conversion, and one of the lowest forward P/E ratios in its peer group at 5.3x, but 95% revenue concentration in advertising, 25% short interest, and a confirmed death-cross downtrend keep the risk-reward unfavorable for new entry at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Advertising Concentration Platform Risk↑Improving
  • 25pct Short Interest Quality Squeeze Setup↑Improving
  • Death Cross Negative Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Yelp Inc. (YELP) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. At $18.42, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue (95.0%); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Yelp operates a U.S.-focused consumer review platform connecting users with local businesses across more than 300 million ratings and reviews. Advertising represented 95% of total revenue in 2025, sourced from CPC ads, business page upgrades, and multi-location campaigns. The... Read more

$18.42+12.2% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#12 of 29 Internet Content & Information
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield28.39%
Stop $17.13Analyst target $20.66(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst consensus$23.75+28.9%8 analysts
$20.66Analyst target
$18.42price
$23.75mean
$17
$30

Sell if holding. At $18.42, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue (95.0%); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Yelp Inc.

About Yelp Inc.

Yelp's local advertising platform produced record annual revenue in 2025, with advertising contributing 95% of total revenue through CPC-priced auctions and direct multi-location campaigns. The company's review archive surpasses 300 million ratings across local business categories, accumulated since Yelp's founding more than 20 years ago. The platform is primarily U.S.-focused, serving consumers searching for local businesses across a broad range of categories.

Yelp earns through three primary sales channels: a Local sales team responsible for businesses with fewer than 10 locations (historically the largest advertising revenue share, now nearly half), a Self-serve platform where businesses buy CPC ads and page upgrades directly, and a Multi-location channel targeting businesses with 10 or more locations. Advertising is priced through an automated auction that weighs advertiser budgets against predicted consumer traffic and relevance signals. Subscription and data-licensing products — including Yelp Guest Manager for restaurants and data licensing to partners such as Sprinklr and Chatmeter — generate the remaining 5% of revenue. Transaction revenue flows primarily through the DoorDash partnership, the largest by both transaction volume and revenue per the 10-K. Google is identified as the most significant source of traffic to the platform, and Meta is separately named as a competitor with the financial resources to gain local advertising share.

Show full overview

Yelp's dependence on Google as its most significant traffic source represents an asymmetric structural risk: algorithm changes and Google's promotion of its own local products have already reduced Yelp link prominence, and AI-generated search responses placed above organic results may further weigh on traffic in 2026. Advertising revenue from the Restaurants, Retail & Other category declined 6% year over year in 2025, and paying advertising locations in RR&O fell 3%, driven by the challenging macro environment those businesses face. With 95% of total revenue tied to advertiser activity, platform-level traffic erosion and category-specific spending weakness compound each other.

See also: Communication Services · Internet Content & Information

From Yelp Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 47%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue (95.0%)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.9
P/E (Fwd)4.8
Mkt Cap$1000M
EV/EBITDA5.0
Profit Mgn8.6%
ROE18.2%
Rev Growth1.4%
Beta0.45
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.53bullish
IV84%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductadvertising revenue95%
    10-K Item 1: 'advertising accounted for the vast majority of our revenue during the year ended December 31, 2025, contributing 95% of our revenue'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-29Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Sam Eaton stepped down as CTO effective June 30, 2026, after more than 13 years with Yelp. Alex Levy, SVP Engineering, appointed as successor CTO. Clean handoff.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume
4.5
Macd
6.7
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
44 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.61Resistance $20.95

Price Targets

$17
$21
A.Upside+12.2%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YELP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $18.42, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue (95.0%); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. Prior stop was $17.13. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the YELP stock price target?

Analyst target: $20.66 (+12.2% upside). Prior stop was $17.13. Stop-loss: $17.13.

What are the risks of investing in YELP?

Concentration risk — Product: advertising revenue (95.0%); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is YELP overvalued or undervalued?

Yelp Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.9 (forward 4.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about YELP?

17 analysts cover YELP with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Yelp Inc. do?Yelp operates a U.S.-focused consumer review platform connecting users with local businesses across more than 300...

Yelp operates a U.S.-focused consumer review platform connecting users with local businesses across more than 300 million ratings and reviews. Advertising represented 95% of total revenue in 2025, sourced from CPC ads, business page upgrades, and multi-location campaigns. The company's proprietary content is increasingly licensed to AI platforms and enterprise partners.

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