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W. P. Carey Inc. REIT (WPC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.33 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away).

W. P. Carey is an internally-managed diversified net lease REIT with 1,682 properties leased to 371 tenants in 25 countries, focused primarily on single-tenant industrial, warehouse, and retail facilities. As of Dec 31, 2025, ~61% of ABR came from US properties and ~33% from... Read more

$72.33+0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#2 of 7 REIT - Diversified
Stop $69.88Target $72.82(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$74.83+3.5%12 analysts
$72.82our TP
$72.33price
$74.83mean
$69
$86

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.33 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.5% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.2
P/E (Fwd)26.2
Mkt Cap$16.2B
EV/EBITDA17.1
Profit Mgn29.7%
ROE6.3%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta0.79
Dividend5.10%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicEurope33%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our real estate properties located outside of the United States represented 39% of our ABR and our real estate properties located in Europe represented 33% of our ABR.'
  • LOWTenantpackaged foods & meats9.6%
    10-K Item 1A: '9.6% and 9.4% of our ABR as of December 31, 2025 is concentrated by tenant industry in packaged foods & meats and food retail, respectively.'
  • LOWTenantfood retail9.4%
    10-K Item 1A: '9.6% and 9.4% of our ABR as of December 31, 2025 is concentrated by tenant industry in packaged foods & meats and food retail, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.7
Ps
3.9
Analyst Target
4.0
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.58Resistance $74.31

Price Targets

$70
$73
A.Upside+0.7%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $72.33 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.5% away). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $69.88. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.82 (+0.7% upside). Prior stop was $69.88. Stop-loss: $69.88.

What are the risks of investing in WPC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.5% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is WPC overvalued or undervalued?

W. P. Carey Inc. REIT trades at a P/E of 31.2 (forward 26.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WPC?

18 analysts cover WPC with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $75.

What does W. P. Carey Inc. REIT do?W. P. Carey is an internally-managed diversified net lease REIT with 1,682 properties leased to 371 tenants in 25...

W. P. Carey is an internally-managed diversified net lease REIT with 1,682 properties leased to 371 tenants in 25 countries, focused primarily on single-tenant industrial, warehouse, and retail facilities. As of Dec 31, 2025, ~61% of ABR came from US properties and ~33% from Europe; net-lease occupancy is ~98.0% with a 12.0-year weighted-average lease term.

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