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GNLGlobal Net Lease, Inc.Sell4.4·$9.34-1.11%
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Global Net Lease, Inc. (GNL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Global Net Lease is a net-lease REIT owning a diversified portfolio of office, industrial, and multi-tenant retail properties across the United States and Europe, leased to investment-grade and creditworthy tenants. It earns rental income through long-term net leases with... Read more

$9.34+1.5% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#7 of 7 REIT - Diversified
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield33.63%
IncomeYield8.05%(5y avg 13.11%)Payout1243.33%
Stop $9.00Target $9.48(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$10.00+7.1%7 analysts
$9.48our TP
$9.34price
$10.00mean
$8
$12

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Global Net Lease, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Weak overall score: 4.4/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-157.3
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn-8.7%
ROE-2.8%
Rev Growth-17.5%
Beta0.99
Dividend8.05%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.10bearish

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -17.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -18%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.7

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.6
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Macd
6.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $9.15Resistance $9.67

Price Targets

$9
$9
A.Upside+1.5%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.9% upside)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GNL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $9.34 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $9.00. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.

What is the GNL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.48 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $9.00. Stop-loss: $9.00.

What are the risks of investing in GNL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Weak overall score: 4.4/10.

Is GNL overvalued or undervalued?

Global Net Lease, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -157.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GNL?

12 analysts cover GNL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Global Net Lease, Inc. do?Global Net Lease is a net-lease REIT owning a diversified portfolio of office, industrial, and multi-tenant retail...

Global Net Lease is a net-lease REIT owning a diversified portfolio of office, industrial, and multi-tenant retail properties across the United States and Europe, leased to investment-grade and creditworthy tenants. It earns rental income through long-term net leases with contractual rent escalations and manages the portfolio following its 2023 internalization of management.

Related stocks: BNL (Broadstone Net Lease, Inc.) · WPC (W. P. Carey Inc. REIT) · SAFE (Safehold Inc. New) · AAT (American Assets Trust, Inc.) · ESRT (Empire State Realty Trust, Inc.)
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