Weyco is a high-quality footwear company, but earnings are expected to fall about 60% from a peak, the shares are overbought near their 52-week high, and insiders keep selling.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Decline From Peak↑Improving
- Overbought Near High↑Improving
- High Business Quality→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Oct 11, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 13, 2026
Weyco Group, Inc. (WEYS) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $51.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
The Company is a Wisconsin corporation incorporated in the year 1906 as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company. Effective April 25, 1990, the name of the corporation was changed to Weyco Group, Inc.
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $51.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $51.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $48.27. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Resistance target: $52.75 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $48.27. Stop-loss: $48.27.
Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).
Weyco Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.0 (forward 35.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
6 analysts cover WEYS with a consensus score of 2.2/5.
What does Weyco Group, Inc. do?The Company is a Wisconsin corporation incorporated in the year 1906 as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company. ...
The Company is a Wisconsin corporation incorporated in the year 1906 as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company. Effective April 25, 1990, the name of the corporation was changed to Weyco Group, Inc.