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WEYSWeyco Group, Inc.Sell5.3·$44.84-0.13%
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Weyco Group, Inc. (WEYS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $44.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak).

The Company is a Wisconsin corporation incorporated in the year 1906 as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company. Effective April 25, 1990, the name of the corporation was changed to Weyco Group, Inc.

$44.84+5.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#7 of 8 Footwear & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield9.23%
IncomeYield2.45%(5y avg 3.56%)Payout29.95%sustainable
Stop $41.70Target $47.41(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $44.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202673d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.3
P/E (Fwd)30.9
Mkt Cap$428M
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE13.8%
Rev Growth6.9%
Beta0.85
Dividend2.45%
Rating analysts6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-24Item 1.02MEDIUM
    • | Giving any and all notices that may be necessary to terminate the Plan, ---|---|--- | • | Satisfying the liabilities of the Plan by making final payments to the participants in either lump sums or through the purchase of a group annuity contract in accordance with the Plan's termination provi...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.4
Rsi
4.3
Ma Position
9.0
Overbought (RSI 73)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.8
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)8K FLAG 1.02Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.87Resistance $48.38

Price Targets

$42
$47
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 31x vs trail 12x (2.5x)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WEYS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $44.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $41.70. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WEYS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.41 (+5.7% upside). Prior stop was $41.70. Stop-loss: $41.70.

What are the risks of investing in WEYS?

Earnings expected to decline ~60% (cyclical peak); Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Is WEYS overvalued or undervalued?

Weyco Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 12.3 (forward 30.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WEYS?

6 analysts cover WEYS with a consensus score of 2.2/5.

What does Weyco Group, Inc. do?The Company is a Wisconsin corporation incorporated in the year 1906 as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company. ...

The Company is a Wisconsin corporation incorporated in the year 1906 as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company. Effective April 25, 1990, the name of the corporation was changed to Weyco Group, Inc.

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