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WERNWerner Enterprises, Inc.Sell4.7·$43.96+0.27%
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Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Trucking

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.96: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Werner Enterprises is one of the largest U.S. truckload carriers with a 7,100-truck fleet across Dedicated (4,850) and One-Way Truckload (2,250) fleets, plus a non-asset Werner Logistics segment; TTS generated 69% of 2025 revenues. Dollar General is the largest customer at 11%... Read more

$43.96+0.9% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#5 of 9 Trucking
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.52%
IncomeYield1.28%(5y avg 1.42%)Payout136.59%at-risk
Stop $41.08Target $44.36(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$38.50-12.4%14 analysts
$44.36our TP
$43.96price
$38.50mean
$30
$47

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.96: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-23.8% upside)
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.42% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)22.2
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn-0.3%
ROE-1.2%
Rev Growth13.6%
Beta1.27
Dividend1.28%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerDollar General11%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our largest customer, Dollar General, accounted for 11% of our total revenues in 2025.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerlargest 5 customers38%
    10-K Item 1: 'our largest 5, 10, 25 and 50 customers comprised 38%, 50%, 68% and 79% of our revenues, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-18Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee approved 2026 base salaries and equity grants (RS and PS awards) for NEOs including CEO Derek Leathers ($980K base, 66,572 RS, 74,137 PS). Routine annual compensatory arrangement; no departures.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -0.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.3
Roa
1.0
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.4
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -0% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.6
Macd
2.9
Rsi
4.1
Ma Position
9.0
Overbought (RSI 77)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.59Resistance $45.27

Price Targets

$41
$44
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.42% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WERN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.96: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $41.08. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WERN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $44.36 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $41.08. Stop-loss: $41.08.

What are the risks of investing in WERN?

Target reached (-23.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.7%), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.42% of cap).

Is WERN overvalued or undervalued?

Werner Enterprises, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 22.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WERN?

20 analysts cover WERN with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Werner Enterprises, Inc. do?Werner Enterprises is one of the largest U.S. truckload carriers with a 7,100-truck fleet across Dedicated (4,850) and...

Werner Enterprises is one of the largest U.S. truckload carriers with a 7,100-truck fleet across Dedicated (4,850) and One-Way Truckload (2,250) fleets, plus a non-asset Werner Logistics segment; TTS generated 69% of 2025 revenues. Dollar General is the largest customer at 11% of revenues; the top 5 customers represent 38% of revenues, concentrated in retail and consumer products (66% of top-50 customer mix).

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