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ARCBArcBest CorporationSell5.4·$173.22+4.21%
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ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Trucking

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $173.22: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a multibillion-dollar integrated logistics company that leverages technology and a full suite of solutions across multiple modes of transportation to meet our customers'... Read more

$173.22-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#1 of 9 Trucking
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.98%
IncomeYield0.29%(5y avg 0.49%)Payout19.67%sustainable
Stop $161.09Target $170.12(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$139.27-19.6%11 analysts
$170.12our TP
$173.22price
$139.27mean
$117

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $173.22: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, news boost analyst cluster(9), earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-10

Recent Developments — ArcBest Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • 8K May 18, 2026 MEDIUM Item 1.02: - TERMINATION OF A MATERIAL DEFINITIVE AGREEMENT** On May 18, 2026, ArcBest Corporation (the "Company") and its wholly owned subsidiary, ArcBest Funding LLC (the "Borrower"), terminated the Third Amended and Restated Receivables Loan Agreement, dated as of June 9, 2021, as amended December 2, 202...

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:46Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Recent Analyst Cluster(9) detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-30.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.2), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.49% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)68.1
P/E (Fwd)20.1
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA15.9
Profit Mgn1.4%
ROE4.3%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta1.58
Dividend0.29%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.58bullish
IV59%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Net Margin
0.7
Roe
1.4
Roa
1.4
Current Ratio
3.7
Moat
4.5
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 197% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
Gap
5.0
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(9)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
99 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $109.96Resistance $173.59

Price Targets

$161
$170
A.Upside-1.8%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-30.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.2), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.49% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ARCB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $173.22: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $161.09. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ARCB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $170.12 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $161.09. Stop-loss: $161.09.

What are the risks of investing in ARCB?

Target reached (-30.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.2), Material insider selling (6 sells, 0.49% of cap).

Is ARCB overvalued or undervalued?

ArcBest Corporation trades at a P/E of 68.1 (forward 20.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ARCB?

18 analysts cover ARCB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $139.

What does ArcBest Corporation do?ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a...

ArcBest Corporation™ (together with its subsidiaries, the "Company," "ArcBest," "we," "us," and "our") is a multibillion-dollar integrated logistics company that leverages technology and a full suite of solutions across multiple modes of transportation to meet our customers' supply chain needs. We serve as a single end-to-end logistics partner with global reach.

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