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VODVodafone Group PlcSell5.1·$15.63
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Vodafone Group shows an attractive forward price-to-earnings of 9.2x and technically trades near its 52-week high with rising on-balance volume, but quality scores fall below the minimum investment threshold, the stock trades significantly above its analyst consensus price target, active legal risk has been flagged, and analyst forward estimates have been cut by 22% in the past 30 days.

Thesis pillars

  • Below Quality Floor Weak Fundamentals→Stable
  • Estimate Cuts And Legal Risk↑Improving
  • Above Analyst Target Negative Asymmetry↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Vodafone Group Plc (VOD) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.63: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Vodafone Group Public Limited Company provides telecommunication services in Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Turkey, and South Africa. It offers mobile and fixed services; connectivity business solutions, such as digital services, the Internet of Things (IoT) and... Read more

$15.63-11.0% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#29 of 41 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield14.27%
IncomeYield3.41%(5y avg 6.30%)Payout102.64%at-risk
Stop $14.99Analyst target $13.90(reached)A.R:R -2.2:1
Analyst consensus$15.98+2.2%5 analysts
$15.63price
$15.98mean
$12
$20

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.63: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and news soft leadership change. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29

Recent Developments — Vodafone Group Plc

Generated 2026-10-29T11:14:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-11.0% upside)
Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$36.2B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn-1.0%
ROE0.1%
Rev Growth—
Beta0.30
Dividend3.41%
Rating analysts27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV96%elevated
Max Pain$13-16.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.0
Gross Margin
2.3
Operating Margin
3.1
Moat
3.9
Current Ratio
4.4
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -2.2=NEGATIVENEWS SOFT LEADERSHIP CHANGEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.28Resistance $16.93

Price Targets

A.Upside-11.0%
A.R:R-2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VOD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $15.63: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.99. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VOD stock price target?

Analyst target $13.90 reached (−11.0% from $15.63); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $14.99. Stop-loss: $14.99.

What are the risks of investing in VOD?

Target reached (-11.0% upside); Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0).

Is VOD overvalued or undervalued?

Vodafone Group Plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VOD?

27 analysts cover VOD with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $16.

What does Vodafone Group Plc do?Vodafone Group Public Limited Company provides telecommunication services in Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of...

Vodafone Group Public Limited Company provides telecommunication services in Germany, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, Turkey, and South Africa. It offers mobile and fixed services; connectivity business solutions, such as digital services, the Internet of Things (IoT) and financial services; and IoT platforms. The company also provides cloud, multi-cloud, and edge computing solutions; M-PESA, an African mobile money platform to make payments and offer financial services; and international voice and roaming services. In addition, it offers unified communications, mobile connectivity, IoT connectivity, cloud and edge, E2E solutions, and security services; leases fibre and other fixed connectivity services; and engages in infrastructure assets, shared operations, growth platforms, retail, and service operations. The company serves private and public sector customers in health, banking and finance, transport and logistics, retail, utilities, and agriculture industries. Vodafone Group Public Limited Company was incorporated in 1984 and is based in Newbury, the United Kingdom.

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