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VODVodafone Group PlcSell4.6·$14.82+0.82%
VOD · Why this verdict

Why Vodafone Group (VOD) is rated SELL

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictSELL
Overall score4.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

6.4/10data confidence 83%
ComponentSub-score
P/S9.8
EV/EBITDA0.0
Fwd P/E9.4
PEG10.0
Analyst target3.0
  • Forward P/E: 9.0x
  • PEG: 0.01

Quality

2.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE0.0
ROA1.0
Gross margin2.3
Op margin3.1
Net margin0.0
Current ratio4.4
Moat3.9
Piotroski F6.7
  • No competitive moat
  • Quality concerns

Growth

5.0/10data confidence 50%

Momentum

2.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD3.6
OBV1.0
MA position4.0
Volume0.5
  • Volume distribution (falling OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

3.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating5.0
Price target2.9
erm sentiment0.0
  • Below analyst target
  • Estimates falling as sentiment proxy (-21.9%)

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.0
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

3.0/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank4.2
quality rank2.8
growth rank5.0

Technical

7.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger6.8
support resistance9.1
52w position7.9

Risk (lower is worse)

7.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.8
days to cover8.7
volatility8.6
put call10.0
implied vol4.2
max pain risk3.0
beta10.0
debt equity5.0
  • Above max pain $5

Catalyst

5.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm1.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
dividend safety3.5
  • Estimates down -21.9% (30d)
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q
  • Yield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Quality below minimum threshold.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L1:HARD_BLOCK
Passed (6)
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:154d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
  • MOMENTUM:2.9<4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:-5.6=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-5.60
Upside
-28.0%
Downside
5.0%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

The L1 gate blocked the positive-verdict path: a hard-floor threshold was breached, so dimensional pillars — including Technical at 7.9 could not lift the engine output above the verdict floor. Failed gate signal: MOMENTUM:2.9<4.5.

The strongest dimensions are Technical at 7.9, Risk (lower is worse) at 7.4, and Value at 6.4; the weakest are Quality at 2.7, Momentum at 2.9, and Peer rank at 3.0. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -5.60 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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