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HONHoneywell International Inc.Sell5.4·$222.14
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A large industrial conglomerate with four consecutive earnings beats and constructive price momentum, but trading just below near-term resistance with only 3.4% headroom to the take-profit target, elevated leverage, and a muted growth profile — the setup favors patience for a better entry rather than adding at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Price At Near Term Resistance→Stable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Elevated Leverage Constrains Flexibility↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Honeywell International Inc. (HON) Stock Analysis

SellValueQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Sell if holding. At $222.14, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. international operations; Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source components in Aerospace Technologies.

Honeywell International Inc. engages in the industrial automation, building automation, and energy and sustainability solutions businesses in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The Industrial Automation segment provides automation control and instrumentation... Read more

$222.14+2.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#8 of 15 Conglomerates
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield9.97%
IncomeYield1.28%(5y avg 2.12%)Payout38.87%sustainable
Stop $210.68Analyst target $228.52(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst consensus$253.91+14.3%23 analysts
$228.52Analyst target
$222.14price
$253.91mean
$186
$290

Sell if holding. At $222.14, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. international operations; Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source components in Aerospace Technologies. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 28, 202789d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive insider activity
Margin of safety: 56%
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. international operations
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source components in Aerospace Technologies
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.0x (earnings normalizing)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.0
P/E (Fwd)22.5
Mkt Cap$70.4B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn18.7%
ROE44.4%
Rev Growth1.3%
Beta0.89
Dividend1.28%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV38%normal
Max Pain$250+12.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicnon-U.S. international operations
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our international operations, including U.S. exports, represent more than half of the Company’s sales'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle or sole-source components in Aerospace Technologies
    10-K Item 1A: 'Many major components, product equipment items, and raw materials, particularly in Aerospace Technologies, are procured or subcontracted on a single or sole-source basis'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-15Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Four directors (Craig Arnold, William Ayer, D. Scott Davis, Deborah Flint) notified the Board they will resign effective immediately prior to consummation of the planned Aerospace Technologies spin-off. Each is expected to join the board of Honeywell Aerospace Inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02LOW
    Jillian Evanko, CEO of Duravant LLC, appointed as Independent Director and Audit Committee member effective June 1, 2026. She will stand for election at the 2027 Annual Meeting. No departures cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.8

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.6
Support Resistance
0.9
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.2
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 89d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $204.23Resistance $223.81

Price Targets

$211
$229
A.Upside+2.9%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.9% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-28 (89d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HON stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $222.14, A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. international operations; Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source components in Aerospace Technologies. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $210.68. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HON stock price target?

Analyst target: $228.52 (+2.9% upside). Prior stop was $210.68. Stop-loss: $210.68.

What are the risks of investing in HON?

Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. international operations; Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole-source components in Aerospace Technologies; Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.0x (earnings normalizing).

Is HON overvalued or undervalued?

Honeywell International Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.0 (forward 22.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HON?

30 analysts cover HON with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $254.

What does Honeywell International Inc. do?Honeywell International Inc. engages in the industrial automation, building automation, and energy and sustainability...

Honeywell International Inc. engages in the industrial automation, building automation, and energy and sustainability solutions businesses in the United States, Europe, and internationally. The Industrial Automation segment provides automation control and instrumentation products and services; smart energy products; sensing technologies, including custom-engineered sensors and related services; gas detection technologies and personal protective equipment; and system design automation equipment, as well as software and analytics for manufacturing, distribution, and fulfillment operations. The Building Automation segment provides software applications for building control and optimization; sensors, switches, control systems, and instruments for energy management; access control; video surveillance; fire products; and installation, maintenance, and system upgrade services. The Energy and Sustainability Solutions segment, through its UOP business, delivers licensed process technology, equipment, engineering, catalysts, adsorbents, and services for refining, petrochemicals, low-carbon energy, gas and LNG, and industrial solutions, as well as connectivity, data integration, and software solutions. The company also offers Forge Cognition, a self-contained agentic AI and simulation platform for facility operations. The company was formerly known as AlliedSignal, Inc. Honeywell International Inc. was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina.

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