Skip to main content
UTHRUnited Therapeutics CorporationHold5.3·$586.48
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

United Therapeutics generates 41% net margins and ranks best-in-class on margins among specialty pharmaceutical peers, but severe product concentration where Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso together account for 59% of revenue, combined with 3 earnings misses in 4 quarters, makes the current risk profile unfavorable for new positions.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Pharma Margins→Stable
  • Product Concentration Tyvaso↑Improving
  • Earnings Miss Trajectory↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

United Therapeutics Corporation (UTHR) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5QualityModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $586.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso (59.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Accredo and CVS Specialty.

United Therapeutics markets five therapies for pulmonary arterial hypertension and rare diseases — Tyvaso DPI, Nebulized Tyvaso, Remodulin, Orenitram, and Unituxin — generating approximately $3.16 billion in total revenues in 2025. Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso together... Read more

QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.21%
Stop $552.68Analyst target $583.71(reached)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst consensus$670.93+14.4%14 analysts
$586.48price
$670.93mean
$368
$850

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $586.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso (59.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Accredo and CVS Specialty. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso (59.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: Accredo and CVS Specialty
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.0
P/E (Fwd)19.3
Mkt Cap$25.2B
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn41.6%
ROE19.3%
Rev Growth-1.9%
Beta0.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.22bullish
IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductTyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso59%
    10-K Item 1: 'combined Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso net product sales, representing 59 percent...of our total revenues for the years ended December 31, 2025'
  • HIGHCustomerAccredo and CVS Specialty
    10-K Item 1A: 'we derive substantially all our treprostinil-based revenues from sales to two distributors, Accredo and CVS Specialty'
  • HIGHSupplierMannKind Corporation
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely entirely on MannKind to manufacture Tyvaso DPI finished drug product and inhalers for us, with no plans to develop an alternate or backup supply arrangement'
  • HIGHSupplierDEKA
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely entirely on DEKA and its affiliates to manufacture the Remunity and RemunityPRO Pumps'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -1.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Earnings Growth
4.7
Declining revenue: -2%
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEINSIDER 1.26%=HEAVYEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.7>=5.5No SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $523.95Resistance $593.50

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! Insider activity: 1.26%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UTHR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $586.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso (59.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Accredo and CVS Specialty. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $583.71 reached (−0.5%), stop $552.68 (−6.1%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UTHR stock price target?

Analyst target $583.71 reached (−0.5% from $586.48); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $583.71 reached (−0.5%), stop $552.68 (−6.1%), A.R:R -0.0:1. Stop-loss: $552.68.

What are the risks of investing in UTHR?

Concentration risk — Product: Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso (59.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: Accredo and CVS Specialty; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is UTHR overvalued or undervalued?

United Therapeutics Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.0 (forward 19.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about UTHR?

22 analysts cover UTHR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $671.

What does United Therapeutics Corporation do?United Therapeutics markets five therapies for pulmonary arterial hypertension and rare diseases — Tyvaso DPI,...

United Therapeutics markets five therapies for pulmonary arterial hypertension and rare diseases — Tyvaso DPI, Nebulized Tyvaso, Remodulin, Orenitram, and Unituxin — generating approximately $3.16 billion in total revenues in 2025. Tyvaso DPI and Nebulized Tyvaso together accounted for 59% of revenues; substantially all treprostinil revenues flow through two distributors, Accredo and CVS Specialty, with no FDA-approved backup manufacturing site for Orenitram or Unituxin.

Related stocks: NBIX (Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc.) · KNSA (Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals Interna) · BHC (Bausch Health Companies Inc.) · LQDA (Liquidia Corporation) · LNTH (Lantheus Holdings, Inc.)
Home › Stocks › UTHR

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga16h agoCONCERNAnalyst
Moomoo92d ago
GuruFocus92d ago
TradingKey92d ago
Investing.com183d ago
MSN183d ago
GuruFocus183d agoRestructuring
The Globe and Mail183d agoAnalyst
Investing.com50d ago
Ca.finance.yahoo.com50d ago
Moomoo22d ago
GuruFocus22d agoAnalyst
StockStory176d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com176d agoEarnings
Marketscreener.com176d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative176d agoEarnings
EBC Financial Group176d agoEarnings
Meyka176d ago
Seeking Alpha85d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance85d agoEarnings
Loading more...