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United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics

United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for... Read more

$98.64+16.5% upside
Score 5.0/10Target $114.58Reward/Risk 2.6:1

TrendMatrix rates United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) as Sell with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $98.64 with +16.5% upside to the $114.58 price target. Overall score: 5.0/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 2.6:1.

Passes 2/4 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val6.8Qual4.7Grw2.3Mom2.6Sent7.8Ins3.2Peer5.5Tech7.1Risk6.75.0OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
- Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
- V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)15.0
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$83.6B
EV/EBITDA8.7
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE33.8%
Rev Growth-3.2%
Beta1.05
Dividend6.72%
Analysts35
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UPS stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) as Sell with moderate confidence. Score 5.0/10.

What is the UPS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $114.58 (+16.5% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $92.16.

What are the risks of investing in UPS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.

Is UPS overvalued or undervalued?

United Parcel Service, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UPS?

35 analysts cover UPS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $113.

What does United Parcel Service, Inc. do?United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It...

United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services. The International Package segment provides small package operations in Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Canada and Latin America, and Asia. The company offers a range of guaranteed day- and time-definite international transportation services; day-definite services; cross-border ground package delivery; contract-only, e-commerce solutions for non-urgent, and cross-border shipments; and international service for urgent and palletized shipments. It also provides international air and ocean freight forwarding, contract logistics, customs brokerage and insurance, mail services, healthcare logistics, distribution, and post-sales services. United Parcel Service, Inc. was founded in 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Related stocks: ZTO (ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc.) · FDX (FedEx Corporation) · JBHT (J.B. Hunt Transport Services, I) · EXPD (Expeditors International of Was) · CHRW (C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.)
30 OVERSOLD
<20d<50d200dGOLDEN CROSSSupp $95.01Res $116.92

Price Targets

$92
$115
Upside+16.5%
Reward/Risk2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! V8: Target reached (-2.3% upside)
! MOMENTUM:2.6<5.0
! ASYMMETRY:-0.5=NEGATIVE
Suitability: Moderate
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 2.6<5.0
Risk/Reward -0.5=NEGATIVE