United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logistics
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $108.45 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.
UPS is a global package delivery and logistics company serving 200+ countries and territories, delivering 20.8M packages per day (5.2B in 2025) with $88.7B in total revenue. Revenue comes from U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain Solutions (forwarding,... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $108.45 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-13Recent Developments — United Parcel Service, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS 10 Industrials Stocks With Whale Alerts In Today's Session — benzinga Jun 11, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Amazon Supply Chain Services Announces U.S. Expansion Of Less-Than-Truckload Freight To Any Type Of Destination, Includi — benzinga Jun 10, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Give Their Take On 3 Industrials Stocks Delivering High-Dividend Yields — benzinga Jun 5, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 9 Industrials Stocks With Whale Alerts In Today's Session — benzinga Jun 2, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 10 Industrials Stocks Whale Activity In Today's Session — benzinga May 29, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerAmazon.com, Inc.11%10-K Item 1: 'one customer, Amazon.com, Inc. and its affiliates, represented approximately 10.6% of our consolidated revenues'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Revenue shrinking — -1.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $108.45 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 65, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $101.96. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $109.00 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $101.96. Stop-loss: $101.96.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0; Weak overall score: 5.0/10.
United Parcel Service, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 13.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
33 analysts cover UPS with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $114.
What does United Parcel Service, Inc. do?UPS is a global package delivery and logistics company serving 200+ countries and territories, delivering 20.8M...
UPS is a global package delivery and logistics company serving 200+ countries and territories, delivering 20.8M packages per day (5.2B in 2025) with $88.7B in total revenue. Revenue comes from U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain Solutions (forwarding, contract logistics, healthcare cold chain generating >$11B in 2025).