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UECUranium Energy Corp.Sell5.4·$9.36-0.85%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Uranium Energy Corp carries 39% analyst upside as a pure-play uranium producer with rising on-balance volume and analyst coverage driving the bull case, but the company has missed earnings estimates in all 4 of the last 4 quarters and burns cash at 406% of revenue, reflecting a pre-revenue development stage business with extreme execution risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Cash Burn 406 Pct Of RevenueStable
  • Four Quarter Earnings Miss StreakImproving
  • Analyst Upside 39 PctStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.36: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

UEC is working towards fueling the global demand for carbon-free nuclear energy, a key solution to climate change, and energy source for the low-carbon future.

$9.36+66.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#2 of 9 Uranium
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-1.77%
Stop $8.76Target $15.68(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.8:1
Analyst target$18.03+92.6%9 analysts
$15.68our TP
$9.36price
$18.03mean
$27

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.36: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 24, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-94.4
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA-34.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-9.0%
Rev Growth
Beta1.19
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV88%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.8
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -406% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.7
Rsi
4.5
Macd
7.3
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4M
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.90Resistance $11.30

Price Targets

$9
$16
A.Upside+66.6%
A.R:R5.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-24 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UEC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $9.36: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Prior stop was $8.76. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the UEC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.68 (+66.6% upside). Prior stop was $8.76. Stop-loss: $8.76.

What are the risks of investing in UEC?

Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is UEC overvalued or undervalued?

Uranium Energy Corp. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -94.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UEC?

13 analysts cover UEC with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $18.

What does Uranium Energy Corp. do?UEC is working towards fueling the global demand for carbon-free nuclear energy, a key solution to climate change, and...

UEC is working towards fueling the global demand for carbon-free nuclear energy, a key solution to climate change, and energy source for the low-carbon future.

Related stocks: CCJ (Cameco Corporation) · URG (Ur Energy Inc) · LEU (Centrus Energy Corp.) · UUUU (Energy Fuels Inc) · ISOU (IsoEnergy Ltd.)
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