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CCJCameco CorporationBuy Wait5.0·$83.84
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

A perfect Piotroski financial health score of 9 out of 9 and three-of-four quarterly earnings beats — including a 38% positive surprise in the most recent quarter — indicate a high-quality business growing well above analyst expectations; the constraint is a forward P/E of 56x that compresses the upside-to-downside ratio to roughly 0.7-to-1, well below a conservative 1.5-to-1 entry bar, making this a quality name to watch rather than an immediate buy.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Track Record→Stable
  • Exceptional Balance Sheet Quality→Stable
  • Rich Valuation Thin Asymmetry→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Cameco Corporation (CCJ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitGrowthShortModerate Confidence

Energy · Uranium

Earnings in 1 day (2026-10-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $78.43. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $83.84. Engine's entry $78.43 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Cameco Corporation provides uranium for the generation of electricity in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in three segments: Uranium, Fuel Services, and Westinghouse. The Uranium segment engages in the exploration for, mining, milling, purchase, and sale of uranium... Read more

$83.84+30.4% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#6 of 9 Uranium
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.14%
IncomeYield0.21%(5y avg 0.21%)Payout29.64%sustainable
Entry $78.43(support + ATR (held))Stop $74.61Target $109.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst consensus$125.71+49.9%10 analysts
$109.36our TP
$83.84price
$125.71mean
$172

Wait for pullback to $78.43. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $83.84. Engine's entry $78.43 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Oct 30, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Analyst upside: 30%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)142.1
P/E (Fwd)44.3
Mkt Cap$36.5B
EV/EBITDA45.9
Profit Mgn10.2%
ROE5.1%
Rev Growth-7.2%
Beta1.14
Dividend0.21%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.92neutral
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$125+49.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.0
Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
4.4

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 1 dayYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $76.92Resistance $94.57

Price Targets

$75
$78
$109
A.Upside+30.4%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-30 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CCJ stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $78.43. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $83.84. Engine's entry $78.43 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 43. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $109.36 (+30.4%), stop $74.61 (−12.4%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CCJ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $109.36 (+30.4% upside). Target $109.36 (+30.4%), stop $74.61 (−12.4%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Stop-loss: $74.61.

What are the risks of investing in CCJ?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is CCJ overvalued or undervalued?

Cameco Corporation trades at a P/E of 142.1 (forward 44.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CCJ?

19 analysts cover CCJ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $126.

What does Cameco Corporation do?Cameco Corporation provides uranium for the generation of electricity in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in...

Cameco Corporation provides uranium for the generation of electricity in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It operates in three segments: Uranium, Fuel Services, and Westinghouse. The Uranium segment engages in the exploration for, mining, milling, purchase, and sale of uranium concentrate. Its Fuel Services segment is involved in the refining, conversion, and fabrication of uranium concentrate, as well as purchase and sale of conversion services. The Westinghouse segment operates as a nuclear reactor technology original equipment manufacturer and a provider of products and services to commercial utilities and government agencies. It also provides outage and maintenance, engineering support, instrumentation and controls equipment, and plant modification services, as well as components and parts to nuclear reactors. The company sells its uranium and fuel products and services to nuclear utilities. Cameco Corporation was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Saskatoon, Canada.

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