Urban Edge Properties operates a retail REIT with 186% free cash flow conversion and strong momentum above all moving averages, but 65% of assets are concentrated in the New York metropolitan area and the stock has already exceeded its analyst price target, eliminating meaningful upside.
Thesis pillars
- Nyc Metro Geographic Concentration↓Deteriorating
- Exceptional Fcf Conversion 186 Pct↑Improving
- Strong Momentum Golden Cross↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 11, 2026
Urban Edge Properties (UE) Stock Analysis
Real Estate · REIT - Retail
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%).
Urban Edge Properties owns and manages 69 shopping centers, two outlet centers, and two malls totaling 17.2 million square feet of GLA at 90.1% consolidated occupancy, focused on the Washington D.C. to Boston corridor. Revenue comes from fixed and variable lease rents from... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Urban Edge Properties
Latest news
- NEWS Resolution Capital Ltd Raises Stock Position in Urban Edge Properties $UE - MarketBeat — MarketBeat positive
- NEWS Urban Edge Properties (UE) Expected to Release Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Urban Edge Properties Announces Change to Date of Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Conference Call - 富途牛牛 — 富途牛牛 neutral
- NEWS Urban Edge Properties faces earnings test after stock pullback By Investing.com - Investing.com South Africa — Investing.com South Africa negative
- NEWS Urban Edge Properties faces earnings test after stock pullback By Investing.com - Investing.com Nigeria — Investing.com Nigeria negative
Generated 2026-10-29T11:08:52Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicNew York metropolitan area65%10-K Item 1A: 'our New York metropolitan area properties in the aggregate generated approximately 65% of our annualized base rent as of December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.03 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.44. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $20.45 (+7.4% upside). Prior stop was $18.44. Stop-loss: $18.44.
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.
Urban Edge Properties trades at a P/E of 23.2 (forward 37.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
14 analysts cover UE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $24.
What does Urban Edge Properties do?Urban Edge Properties owns and manages 69 shopping centers, two outlet centers, and two malls totaling 17.2 million...
Urban Edge Properties owns and manages 69 shopping centers, two outlet centers, and two malls totaling 17.2 million square feet of GLA at 90.1% consolidated occupancy, focused on the Washington D.C. to Boston corridor. Revenue comes from fixed and variable lease rents from tenants including grocers, discounters, big-box retailers, and entertainment operators; TJX Companies is the largest tenant at 5.6% of 2025 revenue.