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UEUrban Edge PropertiesSell5.6·$23.63+2.92%
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Urban Edge Properties (UE) Stock Analysis

SellHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.63 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%).

Urban Edge Properties is a retail REIT owning 69 shopping centers, two outlet centers, and two malls (~17.2 million SF GLA) primarily in the Washington D.C. to Boston corridor, with consolidated occupancy of 90.1% as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from tenant rents; the New... Read more

$23.63-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#12 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.59%
IncomeYield3.66%(5y avg 3.57%)Payout91.76%
Stop $22.69Target $23.33(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$23.43-0.9%7 analysts
$23.33our TP
$23.63price
$23.43mean
$22
$26

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.63 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Urban Edge Properties

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-2.4% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.0
P/E (Fwd)44.7
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA17.9
Profit Mgn22.6%
ROE8.2%
Rev Growth5.4%
Beta1.00
Dividend3.66%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV106%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNew York metropolitan area65%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our New York metropolitan area properties in the aggregate generated approximately 65% of our annualized base rent as of December 31, 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.2
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
5.9
P Ocf
6.7
P/OCF: 16.1x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
Gap
5.0
52w Position
9.8
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.22Resistance $23.81

Price Targets

$23
$23
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $23.63 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $22.69. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the UE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $23.33 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $22.69. Stop-loss: $22.69.

What are the risks of investing in UE?

Concentration risk — Geographic: New York metropolitan area (65.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-2.4% away).

Is UE overvalued or undervalued?

Urban Edge Properties trades at a P/E of 27.0 (forward 44.7). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about UE?

15 analysts cover UE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Urban Edge Properties do?Urban Edge Properties is a retail REIT owning 69 shopping centers, two outlet centers, and two malls (~17.2 million SF...

Urban Edge Properties is a retail REIT owning 69 shopping centers, two outlet centers, and two malls (~17.2 million SF GLA) primarily in the Washington D.C. to Boston corridor, with consolidated occupancy of 90.1% as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from tenant rents; the New York metropolitan area generated approximately 65% of annualized base rent, and TJX Companies is the largest single tenant at 5.6% of total 2025 revenue.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) · SKT (Tanger Inc.) · BRX (Brixmor Property Group Inc.)
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