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Twist Bioscience Corporation (TWST) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $59.94: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 31%; Elevated put/call ratio: 9.50; Below-average business quality.

Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA using a proprietary silicon chip platform, serving synthetic biology, NGS tools, and biopharma antibody discovery markets. Revenue was $376.6M in fiscal 2025 from 3,800+ customers across healthcare, chemicals/materials, and academic... Read more

$59.94+7.9% A.UpsideScore 4.1/10#24 of 25 Diagnostics & Research
Stop $55.79Target $64.74(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$55.00-8.2%9 analysts
$64.74our TP
$59.94price
$55.00mean
$36
$75

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $59.94: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 31%; Elevated put/call ratio: 9.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source supplier
Target reached (-20.2% upside)
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-31.0
Mkt Cap$3.6B
EV/EBITDA-31.0
Profit Mgn-19.6%
ROE-16.8%
Rev Growth16.9%
Beta2.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C9.50bearish
IV107%elevated
Max Pain$35-41.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source supplier
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on one single-source supplier for a critical component for our DNA synthesis process.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Volatile — 6.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
0.4
Beta
2.6
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Debt Equity
9.0
High short interest justified: 31%Elevated put/call: 9.50High IV: 107%Above max pain $35Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.2
Value Rank
2.4
Growth Rank
7.2

Unprofitable operations — net margin -19.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
5.0
Gross Margin
6.3
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
9.2
Cash-burning: FCF -12% of revenueNo competitive moat

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
4.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $47.11Resistance $66.06

Price Targets

$56
$65
A.Upside+8.0%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.2% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -9.4%), Material insider selling (9 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TWST stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $59.94: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 31%; Elevated put/call ratio: 9.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $55.79. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TWST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.74 (+7.9% upside). Prior stop was $55.79. Stop-loss: $55.79.

What are the risks of investing in TWST?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source supplier; Target reached (-20.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is TWST overvalued or undervalued?

Twist Bioscience Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -31.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TWST?

17 analysts cover TWST with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $55.

What does Twist Bioscience Corporation do?Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA using a proprietary silicon chip platform, serving synthetic biology, NGS...

Twist Bioscience manufactures synthetic DNA using a proprietary silicon chip platform, serving synthetic biology, NGS tools, and biopharma antibody discovery markets. Revenue was $376.6M in fiscal 2025 from 3,800+ customers across healthcare, chemicals/materials, and academic research sectors.

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