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TTTrane Technologies plcSell4.8·$470.44+2.66%
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Trane Technologies plc (TT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $470.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Trane Technologies is a global manufacturer of HVAC systems and transport refrigeration under the Trane and Thermo King brands, operating Americas ($17.2B 2025 revenue), EMEA ($2.8B), and Asia Pacific ($1.4B) segments. Approximately 75% of 2025 net revenues were derived inside... Read more

$470.44-1.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#13 of 19 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.63%
IncomeYield0.92%(5y avg 1.20%)Payout29.56%sustainable
Stop $444.63Target $464.52(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$521.51+10.9%23 analysts
$464.52our TP
$470.44price
$521.51mean
$402
$585

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $470.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak overall score: 4.8/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.0
P/E (Fwd)26.9
Mkt Cap$101.3B
EV/EBITDA24.8
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE36.6%
Rev Growth6.0%
Beta1.21
Dividend0.92%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$220-53.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.6
Revenue Growth
4.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.7
Growth Rank
4.7
Quality Rank
7.1
Superior ROE vs peers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
1.1
Gap
5.0
52w Position
8.7
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $439.42Resistance $474.00

Price Targets

$445
$465
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $470.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak overall score: 4.8/10. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 55, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $444.63. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $464.52 (-1.2% upside). Prior stop was $444.63. Stop-loss: $444.63.

What are the risks of investing in TT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak overall score: 4.8/10; Weak growth.

Is TT overvalued or undervalued?

Trane Technologies plc trades at a P/E of 35.0 (forward 26.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TT?

34 analysts cover TT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $522.

What does Trane Technologies plc do?Trane Technologies is a global manufacturer of HVAC systems and transport refrigeration under the Trane and Thermo King...

Trane Technologies is a global manufacturer of HVAC systems and transport refrigeration under the Trane and Thermo King brands, operating Americas ($17.2B 2025 revenue), EMEA ($2.8B), and Asia Pacific ($1.4B) segments. Approximately 75% of 2025 net revenues were derived inside the US; no single customer exceeded 10% of revenues. The company's growth strategy centers on expanding recurring service and rental revenue from a large global installed base.

Related stocks: MAS (Masco Corporation) · JCI (Johnson Controls International ) · WMS (Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.) · SPXC (SPX Technologies, Inc.) · AAON (AAON, Inc.)
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