Tyson Foods has delivered a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak with an average 17.2% positive surprise and exceptional 227% free cash flow conversion, but momentum is deeply negative with RSI at 28 near capitulation territory and a confirmed downtrend — a value-oriented setup contingent on an operational recovery from depressed levels.
Thesis pillars
- Exceptional Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
- Perfect Beat Streak High Surprise→Stable
- Rsi Capitulation Potential Trough↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Nov 10, 2025
Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Defensive · Farm Products
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.36: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Tyson Foods processes and markets beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods through four reportable segments, serving grocery retailers, foodservice operators, and export markets across approximately 140 countries in fiscal 2025. The company employs approximately 133,000 team... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.36: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Tyson Foods, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Reported October 26, 2026: USDA To Invest $57M To Boost American Meat Processing Capacity And Support U.S. Ranchers — benzinga Oct 27, 2026 neutral
- NEWS 'USDA Confirms First US Wildlife Case of New World Screwworm' - Bloomberg — benzinga Oct 22, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Piper Sandler Maintains Overweight on Tyson Foods, Lowers Price Target to $56 — benzinga Oct 7, 2026 negative
- NEWS 'Trump Officials Weigh Rolling Back Beef Import Plan As GOP Midterm Panic Spreads' - Politico Exclusive — benzinga Sep 23, 2026 neutral
- NEWS JP Morgan Upgrades Tyson Foods to Overweight, Lowers Price Target to $63 — benzinga Sep 18, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-10-29T11:48:40Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerWalmart Inc.19%10-K Item 1: 'Walmart Inc. accounted for approximately 18.7% of our fiscal 2025 consolidated sales. Sales to Walmart Inc. were included in all of our segments.'
- MEDIUMCommoditycorn and soybean meal feed ingredients10-K Item 1: 'corn, soybean meal and other feed ingredients were major production costs, representing roughly 53% of our cost of growing a live chicken domestically.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-08Item 5.02MEDIUMJune 8, 2026: Tyson Foods appointed Wes Morris as COO effective June 15, 2026, replacing Devin Cole who steps down the same day. Morris previously served as Group President, Poultry (Jan 2023–Feb 2025). No reason cited for Cole's departure.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-28Item 5.02MEDIUMMay 28, 2026: Tyson Foods named Jeffrey K. Schomburger as CEO effective October 4, 2026 (joining as senior executive July 1, 2026). Schomburger is a current board member and former Global Sales Officer at Procter & Gamble. No reason given for departing CEO.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-02Item 5.02MEDIUMApril 2, 2026: Phillip Thomas appointed VP, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer effective April 6, 2026, replacing Lori Bondar who steps down as CAO but remains SVP to assist transition before planned retirement. Clean handoff.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $55.36: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 68. Prior stop was $53.34. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $54.81 reached (−1.0% from $55.36); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $53.34. Stop-loss: $53.34.
Target reached (-1.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).
Tyson Foods, Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.2 (forward 14.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover TSN with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $63.
What does Tyson Foods, Inc. do?Tyson Foods processes and markets beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods through four reportable segments, serving...
Tyson Foods processes and markets beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods through four reportable segments, serving grocery retailers, foodservice operators, and export markets across approximately 140 countries in fiscal 2025. The company employs approximately 133,000 team members globally and is headquartered in Springdale, Arkansas. Corn, soybean meal and other feed ingredients represented roughly 53% of the cost of growing a live chicken domestically in fiscal 2025.