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TSNTyson Foods, Inc.Sell4.8·$56.02-0.20%
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Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Farm Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.02: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Tyson Foods is a global food company with Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods segments, selling products in approximately 140 countries with approximately 133,000 employees. Revenue is generated from protein product sales to grocery retailers, foodservice distributors, and... Read more

$56.02+10.3% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#5 of 7 Farm Products
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.21%
IncomeYield3.63%(5y avg 3.06%)Payout159.06%at-risk
Stop $54.03Target $61.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$71.08+26.9%12 analysts
$61.84our TP
$56.02price
$71.08mean
$81

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.02: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 53d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-11

Recent Developments — Tyson Foods, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202653d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart Inc. (18.7%)
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.2
P/E (Fwd)12.4
Mkt Cap$19.8B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn0.8%
ROE2.6%
Rev Growth4.4%
Beta0.38
Dividend3.63%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$38-33.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerWalmart Inc.19%
    10-K Item 1: 'Walmart Inc. accounted for approximately 18.7% of our fiscal 2025 consolidated sales.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-02Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Phillip Thomas appointed VP, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer effective April 6, 2026, succeeding Lori Bondar who stepped down as CAO but remains SVP for transition before planned retirement later in the fiscal year.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.4
Value Rank
2.1
Growth Rank
4.3

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.4
Roe
0.9
Operating Margin
1.5
Roa
1.6
Moat
4.5
Current Ratio
6.5
Piotroski F
8.9
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 227% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 53d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.70Resistance $67.17

Price Targets

$54
$62
A.Upside+10.4%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (53d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TSN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $56.02: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 1.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $54.03. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TSN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.84 (+10.3% upside). Prior stop was $54.03. Stop-loss: $54.03.

What are the risks of investing in TSN?

Concentration risk — Customer: Walmart Inc. (18.7%); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is TSN overvalued or undervalued?

Tyson Foods, Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.2 (forward 12.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TSN?

19 analysts cover TSN with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Tyson Foods, Inc. do?Tyson Foods is a global food company with Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods segments, selling products in...

Tyson Foods is a global food company with Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods segments, selling products in approximately 140 countries with approximately 133,000 employees. Revenue is generated from protein product sales to grocery retailers, foodservice distributors, and restaurant operators; Walmart accounted for 18.7% of fiscal 2025 consolidated sales. Corn and soybean meal represent approximately 53% of the cost of growing a domestic chicken.

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