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TROXTronox Holdings plcSell4.0·$8.02+3.62%
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Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellHigh Confidence

Basic Materials · Chemicals

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.02: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Tronox Holdings plc operates as a vertically integrated manufacturer of TiO2 pigment in North America, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates titanium-bearing mineral sand mines; and engages in beneficiation and... Read more

$8.02+6.1% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#10 of 10 Chemicals
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-14.67%
IncomeYield2.49%(5y avg 4.34%)Payout15.58%sustainable
Stop $7.46Target $8.51(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$7.88-1.8%8 analysts
$8.51our TP
$8.02price
$7.88mean
$4
$11

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.02: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst cluster(6), earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13

Recent Developments — Tronox Holdings plc

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst Cluster(6) detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-14.6% upside)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-46.3
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA20.3
Profit Mgn-15.8%
ROE-30.8%
Rev Growth3.0%
Beta0.74
Dividend2.49%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV87%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
3.1
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
8.3
Cash-burning: FCF -6% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
1.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
News Activity
8.0
Estimates down -30.6% (30d)Earnings concerns: 0B/4MDividend: 249.0%

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(6)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $6.79Resistance $8.68

Price Targets

$7
$9
A.Upside+6.1%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.6% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TROX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.02: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 18%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $7.46. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

What is the TROX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.51 (+6.1% upside). Prior stop was $7.46. Stop-loss: $7.46.

What are the risks of investing in TROX?

Target reached (-14.6% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is TROX overvalued or undervalued?

Tronox Holdings plc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -46.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TROX?

14 analysts cover TROX with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Tronox Holdings plc do?Tronox Holdings plc operates as a vertically integrated manufacturer of TiO2 pigment in North America, South and...

Tronox Holdings plc operates as a vertically integrated manufacturer of TiO2 pigment in North America, South and Central America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company operates titanium-bearing mineral sand mines; and engages in beneficiation and smelting operations. It offers TiO2 pigment; ultrafine specialty TiO2; zircon; high purity pig iron; monazite; feedstock; and titanium tetrachloride products. The company's products are used for the manufacture of paints, coatings, plastics, and paper, as well as various other applications. Tronox Holdings plc was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Stamford, Connecticut.

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