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TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

TransMedics Group, Inc., a commercial-stage medical technology company, engages in transforming organ transplant therapy for end-stage organ failure patients in the United States and internationally. The company provides Organ Care System (OCS), a portable organ perfusion,... Read more

$104.80+28.5% upside
Score 6.3/10Target $135.07Reward/Risk 5.6:1

TrendMatrix rates TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) as Hold with moderate confidence. The stock trades at $104.80 with +28.5% upside to the $135.07 price target. Overall score: 6.3/10 across 10 analysis dimensions. Reward/risk ratio: 5.6:1.

Passes 3/4 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.2Qual6.8Grw10.0Mom2.4Sent7.5Ins3.2Peer5.7Tech7.4Risk3.76.3OVERALL

Investment Thesis

+ Sector modifier (): +1.2
+ Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
+ Strong growth profile
- Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5
- Negative momentum
- Elevated risk factors

Fundamentals

P/E (TTM)22.5
P/E (Fwd)29.7
Mkt Cap$3.8B
EV/EBITDA28.8
Profit Mgn31.4%
ROE54.2%
Rev Growth32.2%
Beta1.96
DividendNone
Analysts20
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TMDX stock a buy right now?

TrendMatrix rates TransMedics Group, Inc. (TMDX) as Hold with moderate confidence. Score 6.3/10.

What is the TMDX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $135.07 (+28.5% upside). Reward/risk ratio: 5.6:1. Stop-loss: $99.72.

What are the risks of investing in TMDX?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5; Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Is TMDX overvalued or undervalued?

TransMedics Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.5 (forward 29.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TMDX?

20 analysts cover TMDX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $159.

What does TransMedics Group, Inc. do?TransMedics Group, Inc., a commercial-stage medical technology company, engages in transforming organ transplant...

TransMedics Group, Inc., a commercial-stage medical technology company, engages in transforming organ transplant therapy for end-stage organ failure patients in the United States and internationally. The company provides Organ Care System (OCS), a portable organ perfusion, optimization, and monitoring system that utilizes its proprietary and customized technology to replicate near-physiologic conditions for donor organs outside of the human body. Its OCS includes OCS LUNG for the preservation of standard criteria donor lungs for double-lung transplantation; OCS Heart, a technology for preservation of DBD donor hearts deemed unsuitable due to limitations of cold storage and for ex vivo reanimation, functional monitoring, and beating-heart preservation of donation-after-circulatory-death hearts; and OCS Liver for the preservation of DBD and DCD of donor livers. The company also developed national OCS program, a turnkey solution for outsourced organ retrieval; and provides OCS organ management and logistics services, including aviation and ground transportation, and other coordination activity. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts.

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17 OVERSOLD
<20d<50d<200dGOLDEN CROSSSupp $102.80Res $151.00

Price Targets

$100
$135
Upside+28.5%
Reward/Risk5.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNONE
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRISK_OFF

Risk Alerts

! MOMENTUM:2.4<5.0
OVERSOLD BOUNCESuitability: Aggressive
Risk/Reward 5.7>=2.0
Insider activity: OK
No SEC red flags
Momentum 2.4<5.0