Tidewater Inc. (TDW) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the TDW stock price target?

Entry $83.17, take-profit $91.27 (+9.7% upside). Target $91.27 (+4.2%), stop $77.88 (−12.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in TDW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Target reached (-16.7% upside); Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk.

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings in 3 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

$87.57+9.7% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#28 of 32 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Entry $83.17(5% below current)Stop $77.88Target $91.27(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1Setup A.R:R 1.5:1

Analyst target$83.86-4.2%7 analysts

$91.27our TP

$87.57price

$83.86mean

$52

$117

Wait for pullback to $83.17. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $87.57. Engine's entry $83.17 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.5

P/E (Fwd)14.9

Mkt Cap$4.4B

EV/EBITDA10.4

Profit Mgn24.7%

ROE27.0%

Rev Growth-43.1%

Beta0.56

DividendNone

Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral

IV76%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMCustomerrelatively small number of customers
10-K Item 1A: 'We derive a significant amount of revenue from a relatively small number of customers.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-19Item 5.02LOW
Director Darron M. Anderson notified Board of intent not to stand for reelection at 2026 Annual Meeting. Decision not due to any disagreement. Board will reduce from 8 to 7 directors. No successor named.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.215%0.93

Quality7.015%1.05

Growth0.015%0.00

Momentum4.610%0.46

Sentiment4.510%0.45

Insider Activity3.810%0.38

Peer Rank3.610%0.36

Technical Setup5.75%0.29

Risk Profile5.55%0.28

Catalyst6.35%0.32

Overall (Σ contributions)4.51

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -43.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

0.0

Declining revenue: -43%

Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

0.0

Value Rank

5.5

Quality Rank

8.8

Attractive P/E vs peersSuperior ROE vs peers

GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

49 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $80.29Resistance $93.13

Price Targets

$78

$83

$91

A.Upside+4.2%

A.R:R-1.9:1

Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.7% upside)

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-04 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TDW stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $83.17. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $87.57. Engine's entry $83.17 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $91.27 (+4.2%), stop $77.88 (−12.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TDW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.27 (+9.7% upside). Target $91.27 (+4.2%), stop $77.88 (−12.4%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $77.88.

What are the risks of investing in TDW?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is TDW overvalued or undervalued?

Tidewater Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.5 (forward 14.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about TDW?

13 analysts cover TDW with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Tidewater Inc. do?Tidewater operates 208 offshore support vessels in 30+ countries across five geographic segments, supporting offshore...

Tidewater operates 208 offshore support vessels in 30+ countries across five geographic segments, supporting offshore oil and gas exploration, development, production, and windfarm maintenance. Revenue is primarily from fixed day-rate vessel time charter contracts to international oil companies, NOCs, and drilling contractors. Entered a Sale and Purchase Agreement to acquire the Wilson Companies on February 22, 2026.