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FTKFlotek Industries, Inc.Hold6.3·$24.67-1.32%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Flotek Industries shows strong ROE and growth momentum, but a negative risk/reward skew after reaching its analyst target, combined with elevated short interest and bearish options positioning, argues for trimming rather than adding.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Roe Driven QualityStable
  • Strong Growth MomentumStable
  • Negative Asymmetry Near Price TargetStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Flotek Industries operates two segments: Chemistry Technologies, which designs and manufactures specialty oilfield chemistry solutions, and Data Analytics, which provides real-time measurement instruments and mobile power generation equipment for the oil and gas value chain. The... Read more

$24.67+38.4% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#6 of 38 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-2.56%
Stop $22.94Target $34.15(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$39.25+59.1%6 analysts
$34.15our TP
$24.67price
$39.25mean
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Flotek Industries, Inc.

About Flotek Industries, Inc.

Flotek Industries' ProFrac Agreement and related Lease Agreement, both with affiliates of ProFrac Holding Corp., together generated 62% of total revenue in both 2025 and 2024, with the Lease Agreement alone contributing 6.8% of 2025 revenue. The company's Chemistry Technologies segment develops specialty oilfield chemistries while its Data Analytics segment provides real-time measurement instruments and, following an April 2025 asset acquisition from ProFrac, mobile power generation equipment; the company's top three customers accounted for 76% of consolidated revenue in 2025.

Flotek's Chemistry Technologies segment designs, manufactures, and markets specialty oilfield chemistries intended to improve customers' return on invested capital and reduce environmental impact, while its Data Analytics segment earns service revenue from equipment rentals and product revenue from capital sales of its Verax real-time measurement instruments, plus a new mobile power generation business built from April 2025 PWRtek assets acquired from ProFrac GDM for $107.5 million in cash, warrants, and a secured note. In March 2026, the company settled $27.4 million of 2025 Contract Shortfall Fees owed under the ProFrac Agreement for $19.7 million, split between cash and an equipment credit to be used for Data Analytics purchases from ProFrac. The Verax system's technical components are, in the company's words, sole-sourced and not easily replaceable, and ProFrac Services can terminate the ProFrac Agreement for cause, including the company's bankruptcy or failure to meet delivery or pricing requirements.

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Flotek's liquidity now runs largely through a single counterparty family: as of December 31, 2025, accounts receivable from ProFrac Services and ProFrac GDM totaled $64.2 million, and the company says the ProFrac Agreement and Lease Agreement are expected to remain its major sources of liquidity going forward. ProFrac Services can terminate the ProFrac Agreement on notice for the company's bankruptcy, failure to meet product specifications or delivery timelines, pricing non-compliance, or an uncured force majeure event, and the company's ability to raise debt financing is itself constrained by lenders' evaluation of this ProFrac revenue concentration. Separately, sole-sourced technical components for the Data Analytics segment's Verax measurement system are not easily replaceable, adding a supply-side dependency layered on top of the customer concentration.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From Flotek Industries, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202673d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Outperforming peers
Analyst upside: 38%
Risks
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.4
P/E (Fwd)30.5
Mkt Cap$894M
EV/EBITDA23.2
Profit Mgn13.0%
ROE37.8%
Rev Growth70.3%
Beta1.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.15bullish
IV82%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.49Resistance $39.67

Price Targets

$23
$34
A.Upside+38.4%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FTK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.67, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $34.15 (+38.4%), stop $22.94 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FTK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.15 (+38.4% upside). Target $34.15 (+38.4%), stop $22.94 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $22.94.

What are the risks of investing in FTK?

Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Is FTK overvalued or undervalued?

Flotek Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.4 (forward 30.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FTK?

11 analysts cover FTK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Flotek Industries, Inc. do?Flotek Industries operates two segments: Chemistry Technologies, which designs and manufactures specialty oilfield...

Flotek Industries operates two segments: Chemistry Technologies, which designs and manufactures specialty oilfield chemistry solutions, and Data Analytics, which provides real-time measurement instruments and mobile power generation equipment for the oil and gas value chain. The company's ProFrac Agreement and related Lease Agreement, both with affiliates of ProFrac Holding Corp., together represented 62% of total revenue in both 2025 and 2024, and its top three customers accounted for 76% of consolidated revenue in 2025.

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