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FTKFlotek Industries, Inc.Hold6.6·$26.08
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Flotek is growing revenue about 70% with a 38% return on equity and 41.7% analyst upside, but negative free cash flow, 27% short interest, falling momentum and large insider selling make the risk profile poor.

Thesis pillars

  • Rapid Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Negative Cash Conversion→Stable
  • High Short Interest Risk↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 16, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Flotek Industries, Inc. (FTK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityShortHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Elevated risk factors.

Flotek Industries operates two segments: Chemistry Technologies, which designs and manufactures specialty oilfield chemistry solutions, and Data Analytics, which provides real-time measurement instruments and mobile power generation equipment for the oil and gas value chain. The... Read more

$26.08+29.8% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#5 of 34 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-2.42%
Stop $24.25Analyst target $33.86(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst consensus$38.92+49.2%6 analysts
$33.86Analyst target
$26.08price
$38.92mean
$44

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Flotek Industries, Inc.

About Flotek Industries, Inc.

Flotek Industries' ProFrac Agreement and related Lease Agreement, both with affiliates of ProFrac Holding Corp., together generated 62% of total revenue in both 2025 and 2024, with the Lease Agreement alone contributing 6.8% of 2025 revenue. The company's Chemistry Technologies segment develops specialty oilfield chemistries while its Data Analytics segment provides real-time measurement instruments and, following an April 2025 asset acquisition from ProFrac, mobile power generation equipment; the company's top three customers accounted for 76% of consolidated revenue in 2025.

Flotek's Chemistry Technologies segment designs, manufactures, and markets specialty oilfield chemistries intended to improve customers' return on invested capital and reduce environmental impact, while its Data Analytics segment earns service revenue from equipment rentals and product revenue from capital sales of its Verax real-time measurement instruments, plus a new mobile power generation business built from April 2025 PWRtek assets acquired from ProFrac GDM for $107.5 million in cash, warrants, and a secured note. In March 2026, the company settled $27.4 million of 2025 Contract Shortfall Fees owed under the ProFrac Agreement for $19.7 million, split between cash and an equipment credit to be used for Data Analytics purchases from ProFrac. The Verax system's technical components are, in the company's words, sole-sourced and not easily replaceable, and ProFrac Services can terminate the ProFrac Agreement for cause, including the company's bankruptcy or failure to meet delivery or pricing requirements.

Show full overview

Flotek's liquidity now runs largely through a single counterparty family: as of December 31, 2025, accounts receivable from ProFrac Services and ProFrac GDM totaled $64.2 million, and the company says the ProFrac Agreement and Lease Agreement are expected to remain its major sources of liquidity going forward. ProFrac Services can terminate the ProFrac Agreement on notice for the company's bankruptcy, failure to meet product specifications or delivery timelines, pricing non-compliance, or an uncured force majeure event, and the company's ability to raise debt financing is itself constrained by lenders' evaluation of this ProFrac revenue concentration. Separately, sole-sourced technical components for the Data Analytics segment's Verax measurement system are not easily replaceable, adding a supply-side dependency layered on top of the customer concentration.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From Flotek Industries, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 30%
Risks
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Elevated risk factors

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.9
P/E (Fwd)28.0
Mkt Cap$945M
EV/EBITDA24.4
Profit Mgn13.0%
ROE37.8%
Rev Growth70.3%
Beta1.42
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.24bearish
IV103%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesINSIDER 2.72%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.68Resistance $31.76

Price Targets

$24
$34
A.Upside+29.8%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Insider activity: 2.72%=extreme
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FTK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $33.86 (+29.8%), stop $24.25 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

What is the FTK stock price target?

Analyst target: $33.86 (+29.8% upside). Analyst target $33.86 (+29.8%), stop $24.25 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $24.25.

What are the risks of investing in FTK?

Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Elevated risk factors.

Is FTK overvalued or undervalued?

Flotek Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.9 (forward 28.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FTK?

11 analysts cover FTK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Flotek Industries, Inc. do?Flotek Industries operates two segments: Chemistry Technologies, which designs and manufactures specialty oilfield...

Flotek Industries operates two segments: Chemistry Technologies, which designs and manufactures specialty oilfield chemistry solutions, and Data Analytics, which provides real-time measurement instruments and mobile power generation equipment for the oil and gas value chain. The company's ProFrac Agreement and related Lease Agreement, both with affiliates of ProFrac Holding Corp., together represented 62% of total revenue in both 2025 and 2024, and its top three customers accounted for 76% of consolidated revenue in 2025.

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