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EROKEagleRock Land, LLCHold6.4·$25.30-0.55%
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

EagleRock screens as an industry growth leader trading at a low PEG ratio, but weak momentum and an unfavorable risk/reward skew mean the setup does not yet clear the engine's buy gates.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Growth LeadershipStable
  • Cheap Growth Adjusted ValuationStable
  • Momentum Gate FailureImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

EagleRock Land, LLC (EROK) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~71% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

EagleRock Land, LLC operates as a land management company. The company owns or controls approximately 236,000 acres across in the heart of the Delaware and Midland sub-basins within the prolific Permian Basin. It also owns interest in approximately 70,000 acres pursuant to an... Read more

$25.30-0.8% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#8 of 37 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Stop $23.53Target $26.87(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$28.83+14.0%6 analysts
$26.87our TP
$25.30price
$28.83mean
$33

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~71% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 29, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~71% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.1
P/E (Fwd)31.9
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA-159.8
Profit Mgn-2.9%
ROE
Rev Growth74.0%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWide

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.5
Volume
2.3
Rsi
3.5
Ma Position
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $24.21Resistance $27.42

Price Targets

$24
$27
A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 32x vs trail 9x (3.5x)
! Target reached (-0.8% upside)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-29 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EROK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $25.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~71% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $26.87 (+6.2%), stop $23.53 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.4/10, high confidence.

What is the EROK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $26.87 (-0.8% upside). Target $26.87 (+6.2%), stop $23.53 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $23.53.

What are the risks of investing in EROK?

Earnings expected to decline ~71% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is EROK overvalued or undervalued?

EagleRock Land, LLC trades at a P/E of 9.1 (forward 31.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EROK?

13 analysts cover EROK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $29.

What does EagleRock Land, LLC do?EagleRock Land, LLC operates as a land management company. The company owns or controls approximately 236,000 acres...

EagleRock Land, LLC operates as a land management company. The company owns or controls approximately 236,000 acres across in the heart of the Delaware and Midland sub-basins within the prolific Permian Basin. It also owns interest in approximately 70,000 acres pursuant to an acreage dedication related to Midland Basin water infrastructure assets. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Related stocks: FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc.) · HLX (Helix Energy Solutions Group, I) · USAC (USA Compression Partners, LP) · FTK (Flotek Industries, Inc.) · NGS (Natural Gas Services Group, Inc)
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