Value
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.6 |
| P/S | 8.5 |
| EV/EBITDA | 6.6 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.1 |
| PEG | 4.5 |
| Analyst target | 5.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.6x
- ▸PEG: 2.03
TDW · Why this verdict
Why Tidewater (TDW) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.0/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
6.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 8.0 |
| ROA | 5.0 |
| Gross margin | 5.8 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 9.7 |
| FCF quality | 9.3 |
| Moat | 5.8 |
| Piotroski F | 8.9 |
- ▸Strong margins: 22%
- ▸Excellent cash conversion: 129% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
Growth
1.6/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 0.0 |
| EPS growth | 3.1 |
- ▸Declining revenue: -43%
Momentum
3.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 8.3 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 4.0 |
| Volume | 2.7 |
- ▸Oversold in uptrend (RSI 26)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Above 200-day MA
Sentiment
5.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 5.0 |
| Price target | 7.6 |
| erm sentiment | 4.1 |
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.0 |
- ▸No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.6/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.6 |
| quality rank | 9.0 |
| growth rank | 0.0 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.8 |
| support resistance | 9.6 |
| 52w position | 5.6 |
| gap | 5.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
5.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 3.3 |
| days to cover | 3.9 |
| volatility | 2.7 |
| put call | 10.0 |
| implied vol | 3.1 |
| beta | 9.9 |
| debt equity | 8.2 |
- ▸High IV: 61%
- ▸Concentration risks: 2 MED (10-K Item 1A)
Catalyst
5.5/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 3.5 |
| earnings history | 3.3 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
- ▸Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier -2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING).
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=-2Passed (5)
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:57d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:3.2<4.5
- ASYMMETRY:0.5<1.5@spot
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
0.50
Upside
+3.9%
Downside
7.9%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupUNKNOWN — No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — MCap $3.6B<$5B
Investment implication
None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: INSIDER:OK. Top dim: Technical at 7.2; weakest: Growth at 1.6. No conviction either direction.
The strongest dimensions are Technical at 7.2, Value at 6.9, and Quality at 6.9; the weakest are Growth at 1.6, Momentum at 3.2, and Peer rank at 3.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 0.50 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.