Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the SVV stock price target?

Take-profit $12.83 (+53.7% upside). Prior stop was $7.76.

Q: Is SVV overvalued or undervalued?

Savers Value Village, Inc. trades at a P/E of 60.4 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about SVV?

15 analysts cover SVV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $15.

Recovery setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-02

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.35: Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 4.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.38; Below-average business quality.

$8.35+53.7% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#8 of 18 Specialty Retail

Stop $7.76Target $12.83(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.7:1

Analyst target$14.75+76.6%10 analysts

$12.83our TP

$8.35price

$14.75mean

$20

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)60.4

P/E (Fwd)14.3

Mkt Cap$1.3B

EV/EBITDA12.3

Profit Mgn1.3%

ROE5.3%

Rev Growth15.6%

Beta1.22

DividendNone

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.38bearish

IV126%elevated

Max Pain$3-70.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value7.615%1.14

Quality4.615%0.69

Growth6.415%0.96

Momentum2.610%0.26

Sentiment6.610%0.66

Insider Activity4.810%0.48

Peer Rank4.010%0.40

Technical Setup4.05%0.20

Risk Profile2.05%0.10

Catalyst5.85%0.29

Overall (Σ contributions)5.18

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Short Interest

0.0

Put Call

0.0

Implied Vol

0.0

Volatility

0.4

Debt Equity

1.8

Max Pain Risk

3.0

Days To Cover

4.4

Beta

6.1

High short interest: 36%Elevated put/call: 2.38High IV: 126%Above max pain $2

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

1.0

Rsi

4.5

Macd

6.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 4.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive

RSI

52 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.39Resistance $9.11

Price Targets

$13

A.Upside+53.7%

A.R:R4.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0)

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is SVV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $8.35: Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 4.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 36%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.38; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Prior stop was $7.76. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SVV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.83 (+53.7% upside). Prior stop was $7.76. Stop-loss: $7.76.

What are the risks of investing in SVV?

Risk below floor (2.0 < 3.0).

Is SVV overvalued or undervalued?

Savers Value Village, Inc. trades at a P/E of 60.4 (forward 14.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SVV?

15 analysts cover SVV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $15.

What does Savers Value Village, Inc. do?Savers Value Village, Inc., a thrift operator, sells second-hand merchandise in retail stores in the United States,...

Savers Value Village, Inc., a thrift operator, sells second-hand merchandise in retail stores in the United States, Canada, and Australia. It purchases secondhand textiles, including clothing, bedding, and bath items; shoes; accessories; housewares; books; and other goods from non-profit partners and then processes, selects, prices, merchandises, and sells them in its stores. The company operates stores under the Savers, Value Village, Value Village Boutique, Village des Valeurs, Unique, and 2nd Avenue brands. It serves retail and wholesale customers. The company was formerly known as S-Evergreen Holding LLC and changed its name to Savers Value Village, Inc. in January 2022. Savers Value Village, Inc. was founded in 1954 and is based in Bellevue, Washington.