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SVVSavers Value Village, Inc.Sell4.9·$9.39+3.41%
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Savers Value Village, Inc. (SVV) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Savers Value Village, Inc., a thrift operator, sells second-hand merchandise in retail stores in the United States, Canada, and Australia. It purchases secondhand textiles, including clothing, bedding, and bath items; shoes; accessories; housewares; books; and other goods from... Read more

$9.39+29.3% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#17 of 18 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.50%
Stop $8.73Target $12.14(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$13.95+48.6%10 analysts
$12.14our TP
$9.39price
$13.95mean
$20

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 29%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)64.9
P/E (Fwd)15.4
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn1.3%
ROE5.2%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta1.33
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$3-73.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.8
52w Position
3.5
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
2.2
Growth Rank
6.7

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.6
Obv
1.0
Rsi
2.2
Ma Position
6.0
Macd
8.8
Overbought bear rally (RSI 82)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.95Resistance $9.64

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside+29.3%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SVV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 82. Prior stop was $8.73. Score 4.9/10, high confidence.

What is the SVV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.14 (+29.3% upside). Prior stop was $8.73. Stop-loss: $8.73.

What are the risks of investing in SVV?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5.

Is SVV overvalued or undervalued?

Savers Value Village, Inc. trades at a P/E of 64.9 (forward 15.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SVV?

15 analysts cover SVV with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $14.

What does Savers Value Village, Inc. do?Savers Value Village, Inc., a thrift operator, sells second-hand merchandise in retail stores in the United States,...

Savers Value Village, Inc., a thrift operator, sells second-hand merchandise in retail stores in the United States, Canada, and Australia. It purchases secondhand textiles, including clothing, bedding, and bath items; shoes; accessories; housewares; books; and other goods from non-profit partners and then processes, selects, prices, merchandises, and sells them in its stores. The company operates stores under the Savers, Value Village, Value Village Boutique, Village des Valeurs, Unique, and 2nd Avenue brands. It serves retail and wholesale customers. The company was formerly known as S-Evergreen Holding LLC and changed its name to Savers Value Village, Inc. in January 2022. Savers Value Village, Inc. was founded in 1954 and is based in Bellevue, Washington.

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