National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) Stock Analysis
Oversold Bounce setup
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: EssilorLuxottica; Negative momentum.
National Vision is a U.S. optical retail chain operating 1,100+ stores under America's Best, Eyeglass World, and other brands, offering affordable eye exams and eyewear. Revenue comes from retail optical product sales and eye care services; managed care represented 42% of... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: EssilorLuxottica; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 23, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierEssilorLuxottica10-K Item 1: 'Under our agreement with EssilorLuxottica, EssilorLuxottica has the sole and exclusive right to supply certain eyeglass lenses to us.'
- MEDIUMCustomermanaged care42%10-K Item 1: 'our managed care business represented 42% of our revenues from continuing operations'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: EssilorLuxottica; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 23, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $30.69 (+81.7%), stop $15.74 (−7.3%), A.R:R 5.4:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $30.69 (+81.4% upside). Target $30.69 (+81.7%), stop $15.74 (−7.3%), A.R:R 5.4:1. Stop-loss: $15.74.
Concentration risk — Supplier: EssilorLuxottica; Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.
National Vision Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.7 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.
16 analysts cover EYE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $35.
What does National Vision Holdings, Inc. do?National Vision is a U.S. optical retail chain operating 1,100+ stores under America's Best, Eyeglass World, and other...
National Vision is a U.S. optical retail chain operating 1,100+ stores under America's Best, Eyeglass World, and other brands, offering affordable eye exams and eyewear. Revenue comes from retail optical product sales and eye care services; managed care represented 42% of revenues in 2025. EssilorLuxottica holds exclusive rights to supply certain eyeglass lenses.