Suzano trades at a forward P/E of 5.7x with 26% ROE and ranks in the top decile of peers on both value and returns, offering a 31% margin of safety to analyst targets, but has missed earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters and carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.0 with negative free cash flow.
Thesis pillars
- Earnings Miss Pattern→Stable
- Leverage With Negative Fcf↓Deteriorating
- Revenue Decline Weak Growth→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026
Suzano S.A. (SUZ) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Sector Rotation edge
Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $8.99: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.
Suzano S.A. manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Cellulose, and Paper. The company offers coated and uncoated printing and writing papers, paperboards, tissue papers, and market and fluff pulps. It also... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $8.99: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-29Recent Developments — Suzano S.A.
Latest news
- NEWS Suzano S.A. (SUZ) Releases Q1 2026 Earnings: Revenue Up but Net Income and EPS Down - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
- NEWS SUZ (Suzano S.A. American Depositary Shares) Q4 2025 earnings blow past estimates, 5.7 percent revenue growth fails to l — Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La positive
- NEWS Suzano S.A. ($SUZ) Releases Q2 2026 Earnings: Revenue Falls and Net Income Drops 62.3% - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
- NEWS Suzano Stock Slides As Investors Question Earnings Hype - TipRanks — TipRanks negative
- NEWS Suzano (SUZ) Expected to Announce Earnings on Wednesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-10-29T13:34:03Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Revenue shrinking — -12.8% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $8.99: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Prior stop was $8.55. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $10.77 (+19.8% upside). Prior stop was $8.55. Stop-loss: $8.55.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0.
Suzano S.A. trades at a P/E of 7.2 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover SUZ with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $12.
What does Suzano S.A. do?Suzano S.A. manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments,...
Suzano S.A. manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Cellulose, and Paper. The company offers coated and uncoated printing and writing papers, paperboards, tissue papers, and market and fluff pulps. It also engages in the research, development, and production of biofuel; operation of port terminals; biotechnology and nanocrystalline pulps research and development activities; power generation and distribution business; road freight transport activities; commercialization of equipment and parts; research and development of lignin; industrialization and commercialization of cellulose, microfiber cellulose, paper, and paperboard products; and industrialization, commercialization, and exporting of pulp products. In addition, the company is involved in the commercial office, corporate venture capital, and financial fundraising activities; production of consumer goods through cellulose-based liquids; development and production of cellulose-based fibers, yarns, and textile filaments; restoration, conservation, and preservation of forests; and research of raw materials for the textile industry. The company was formerly known as Suzano Papel e Celulose S.A. and changed its name to Suzano S.A. in April 2019. The company was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Salvador, Brazil.