Skip to main content
SUZSuzano S.A.Sell5.2·$8.51+3.34%
Open full analysis

Suzano S.A. (SUZ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 3/5High Confidence

Basic Materials · Paper & Paper Products

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $8.51: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Suzano S.A. manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Cellulose, and Paper. The company offers coated and uncoated printing and writing papers, paperboards, tissue papers, and market and fluff pulps. It also... Read more

$8.51+29.9% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#1 of 2 Basic Materials (sector)
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-17.95%
IncomeYield0.01%(5y avg 1.79%)Payout12.66%sustainable
Stop $8.17Target $11.05(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst target$12.70+49.2%5 analysts
$11.05our TP
$8.51price
$12.70mean
$15

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $8.51: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 69%
Analyst upside: 30%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.6
P/E (Fwd)5.6
Mkt Cap$10.2B
EV/EBITDA4.1
Profit Mgn23.0%
ROE26.3%
Rev Growth-5.1%
Beta0.09
Dividend0.01%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV95%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -5.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.2
Declining revenue: -5%

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
4.7
Gap
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 0B/3M
GatesMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 4.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.92Resistance $8.54

Price Targets

$8
$11
A.Upside+29.8%
A.R:R4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts22
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$13

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SUZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $8.51: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $8.17. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the SUZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.05 (+29.9% upside). Prior stop was $8.17. Stop-loss: $8.17.

What are the risks of investing in SUZ?

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3); Weak growth.

Is SUZ overvalued or undervalued?

Suzano S.A. trades at a P/E of 4.6 (forward 5.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SUZ?

22 analysts cover SUZ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Suzano S.A. do?Suzano S.A. manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments,...

Suzano S.A. manufactures and sells pulp and paper products in Brazil and internationally. It operates in two segments, Cellulose, and Paper. The company offers coated and uncoated printing and writing papers, paperboards, tissue papers, and market and fluff pulps. It also engages in the research, development, and production of biofuel; operation of port terminals; biotechnology and nanocrystalline pulps research and development activities; power generation and distribution business; road freight transport activities; commercialization of equipment and parts; research and development of lignin; industrialization and commercialization of cellulose, microfiber cellulose, paper, and paperboard products; and industrialization, commercialization, and exporting of pulp products. In addition, the company is involved in the commercial office, corporate venture capital, and financial fundraising activities; production of consumer goods through cellulose-based liquids; development and production of cellulose-based fibers, yarns, and textile filaments; restoration, conservation, and preservation of forests; and research of raw materials for the textile industry. The company was formerly known as Suzano Papel e Celulose S.A. and changed its name to Suzano S.A. in April 2019. The company was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Salvador, Brazil.

Related stocks: SLVM (Sylvamo Corporation) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.)
Home Stocks SUZ

Latest news

Latest News

Quiver Quantitative47d agoEarnings
Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La54d agoEarnings
MarketBeat55d agoAnalyst
UBND thành phố Hải Phòng54d ago
GuruFocus50d ago
TipRanks52d ago
TipRanks52d ago
Benzinga39d ago
Benzinga66d ago