Skip to main content
STOKStoke Therapeutics, Inc.Sell5.0·$28.94-0.21%
Open full analysis

Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. (STOK) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.94: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Stoke Therapeutics is a pre-commercial biopharma developing RNA-targeted therapies using its TANGO platform. Lead candidate zorevunersen (STK-001) is in global Phase 3 EMPEROR study for Dravet syndrome (first patient dosed August 2025, data expected mid-2027); STK-002 for ADOA... Read more

$28.94+33.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#98 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-4.91%
Stop $27.31Target $39.24(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$45.10+55.8%10 analysts
$39.24our TP
$28.94price
$45.10mean
$60

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.94: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on SEC filing concern. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Stoke Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202663d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: zorevunersen (STK-001)
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-9.3
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA-8.0
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-45.6%
Rev Growth-96.1%
Beta1.19
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.44bullish
IV140%elevated
Max Pain$55+90.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelinezorevunersen (STK-001)
    10-K Item 1A: 'We have invested substantially all of our efforts and financial resources in the development of TANGO and our current lead product candidate, zorevunersen'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-07Item 5.02LOW
    G. Clare Kahn, Ph.D. appointed to Board as Class I director effective April 3, 2026. Appointed to Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee and as chairperson of R&D Committee.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-27Item 4.01HIGH
    Audit Committee dismissed KPMG LLP as independent auditor on March 23, 2026. KPMG's reports for FY2025 and FY2024 were unqualified with no reportable events or disagreements. New auditor to be named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-03Item 5.02LOW
    Board approved $697,125 discretionary bonus for CEO Ian F. Smith for 2025 performance (150% of target). Represents his full target annual bonus amount.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.1
Value Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
2.8

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
4.0
Current Ratio
5.0
Gross Margin
10.0
Cash-burning: FCF -276% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -373 (fail)Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.5
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesSEC critical: Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.02Resistance $33.02

Price Targets

$27
$39
A.Upside+35.6%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Critical SEC filing

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STOK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $28.94: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $27.31. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STOK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $39.24 (+33.6% upside). Prior stop was $27.31. Stop-loss: $27.31.

What are the risks of investing in STOK?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: zorevunersen (STK-001); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is STOK overvalued or undervalued?

Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STOK?

18 analysts cover STOK with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $45.

What does Stoke Therapeutics, Inc. do?Stoke Therapeutics is a pre-commercial biopharma developing RNA-targeted therapies using its TANGO platform. Lead...

Stoke Therapeutics is a pre-commercial biopharma developing RNA-targeted therapies using its TANGO platform. Lead candidate zorevunersen (STK-001) is in global Phase 3 EMPEROR study for Dravet syndrome (first patient dosed August 2025, data expected mid-2027); STK-002 for ADOA is in Phase 1.

Related stocks: AUPH (Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc) · HRMY (Harmony Biosciences Holdings, I) · TGTX (TG Therapeutics, Inc.) · ADMA (ADMA Biologics Inc) · HALO (Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc.)
Home Stocks STOK

Latest news

Latest News

Benzinga36d agoAnalyst
Benzinga39d ago