Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) Stock Analysis
Temp Headwind edge
Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $247.30 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Taiwan manufacturing.
Garmin designs, develops, manufactures, and markets GPS-enabled products across five segments: fitness, outdoor, aviation, marine, and auto OEM. It has delivered 300M+ products since inception and 20M+ in fiscal 2025. Revenue comes from diversified product sales globally;... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $247.30 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Taiwan manufacturing. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicTaiwan manufacturing10-K Item 1A: 'Our principal manufacturing facilities for consumer products are located in Taiwan'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $247.30 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Taiwan manufacturing. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $234.93. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $267.85 (+8.3% upside). Prior stop was $234.93. Stop-loss: $234.93.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Taiwan manufacturing; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.8): -1.0.
Garmin Ltd. trades at a P/E of 28.0 (forward 24.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
15 analysts cover GRMN with a consensus score of 2.7/5. Average price target: $262.
What does Garmin Ltd. do?Garmin designs, develops, manufactures, and markets GPS-enabled products across five segments: fitness, outdoor,...
Garmin designs, develops, manufactures, and markets GPS-enabled products across five segments: fitness, outdoor, aviation, marine, and auto OEM. It has delivered 300M+ products since inception and 20M+ in fiscal 2025. Revenue comes from diversified product sales globally; principal consumer manufacturing is concentrated in Taiwan.