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SRPTSarepta Therapeutics, Inc.Sell4.6·$15.78+1.48%
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Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.78 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Catalent (ELEVIDYS commercial CMO); Concentration risk — Supplier: Aldevron (plasmid supplier for ELEVIDYS).

Sarepta Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharma with four FDA-approved Duchenne muscular dystrophy products (EXONDYS 51, VYONDYS 53, AMONDYS 45, ELEVIDYS), generating $1,864.3M in net revenues in 2025. All products rely on third-party CMOs for manufacturing as Sarepta has... Read more

$15.78+24.6% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#130 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield12.47%
Stop $14.95Target $19.80(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$22.00+39.4%23 analysts
$19.80our TP
$15.78price
$22.00mean
$5
$38

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.78 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Catalent (ELEVIDYS commercial CMO); Concentration risk — Supplier: Aldevron (plasmid supplier for ELEVIDYS). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09

Recent Developments — Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.

Generated 2026-06-15T18:11:47Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Healthcare): +0.5
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Catalent (ELEVIDYS commercial CMO)
Concentration risk — Supplier: Aldevron (plasmid supplier for ELEVIDYS)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)44.4
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA44.1
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE4.9%
Rev Growth-1.9%
Beta0.20
DividendNone
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.51bullish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$7-55.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierCatalent (ELEVIDYS commercial CMO)
    10-K Item 1: 'Catalent supports our clinical and commercial manufacturing demand for ELEVIDYS and our SRP-9003 LGMD program'
  • HIGHSupplierAldevron (plasmid supplier for ELEVIDYS)
    10-K Item 1: 'Aldevron provides plasmids for ELEVIDYS and SRP-9003 and is expected to provide plasmid source material for any future gene therapy programs.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02HIGH
    CEO Douglas Ingram notified the Company of his decision to retire as CEO by end of 2026 or upon appointment of his replacement. Search for internal and external candidates commenced. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.4
Volume
2.1
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.9
Value Rank
6.0
Quality Rank
6.3
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.41Resistance $19.49

Price Targets

$15
$20
A.Upside+25.5%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SRPT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.78 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Catalent (ELEVIDYS commercial CMO); Concentration risk — Supplier: Aldevron (plasmid supplier for ELEVIDYS). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $14.95. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SRPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.80 (+24.6% upside). Prior stop was $14.95. Stop-loss: $14.95.

What are the risks of investing in SRPT?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Catalent (ELEVIDYS commercial CMO); Concentration risk — Supplier: Aldevron (plasmid supplier for ELEVIDYS); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Is SRPT overvalued or undervalued?

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. trades at a P/E of 44.4 (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SRPT?

33 analysts cover SRPT with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. do?Sarepta Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharma with four FDA-approved Duchenne muscular dystrophy products...

Sarepta Therapeutics is a commercial-stage biopharma with four FDA-approved Duchenne muscular dystrophy products (EXONDYS 51, VYONDYS 53, AMONDYS 45, ELEVIDYS), generating $1,864.3M in net revenues in 2025. All products rely on third-party CMOs for manufacturing as Sarepta has no internal GMP production capability.

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