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SONYSony Group CorporationSell5.6·$25.22
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Sony Group trades in a confirmed death-cross downtrend below all moving averages with RSI at 34 and burning cash at the operating level, but analysts see roughly 44% upside to consensus targets and the stock is near Bollinger lower-band technical support that has historically preceded reversals.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Negative Quality Concern→Stable
  • Analyst Consensus Large Upside↑Improving
  • Low Short Interest Technical Support↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Sony Group Corporation (SONY) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Consumer Electronics

Earnings in 7 days (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

Sony Group Corporation develops, designs, produces, manufactures, supplies, and sells electronic equipment, instruments, and devices for consumer, professional, and industrial use in Japan, the United States, Europe, China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company... Read more

$25.22-0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#2 of 4 Consumer Electronics
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2275.47%
IncomeYield0.62%(5y avg 0.60%)Payout12.86%sustainable
Stop $24.30Analyst target $25.07(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$29.50+17.0%4 analysts
$25.22price
$29.50mean
$23
$34

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.8
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$147.3B
EV/EBITDA0.1
Profit Mgn-1.7%
ROE13.2%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.81
Dividend0.62%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.09bearish
IV63%elevated
Max Pain$15-40.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.3
Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
5.8
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $23.27Resistance $26.31

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SONY stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.22 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $24.30. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SONY stock price target?

Analyst target $25.07 reached (−0.6% from $25.22); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $24.30. Stop-loss: $24.30.

What are the risks of investing in SONY?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is SONY overvalued or undervalued?

Sony Group Corporation trades at a P/E of 20.8 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SONY?

31 analysts cover SONY with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Sony Group Corporation do?Sony Group Corporation develops, designs, produces, manufactures, supplies, and sells electronic equipment,...

Sony Group Corporation develops, designs, produces, manufactures, supplies, and sells electronic equipment, instruments, and devices for consumer, professional, and industrial use in Japan, the United States, Europe, China, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. The company operates through Game & Network Services, Music, Pictures, Entertainment Technology & Services, and Imaging & Sensing Solutions. It develops, designs, produces, manufactures, provides, and sells smartphones and image sensors; plans, produces, manufactures, and sells music software, performances and merchandise, song lyrics and music management, licensing, animation works, and game applications. The company is also involved in the production, acquisition, sale, and distribution of motion pictures and television programs; operates television networks and direct-to-consumer distribution services; insurance business, including life insurance and non-life insurance; internet banking; production and sale of digital software add-on content; manufacturing and sales of home video game consoles; and interchangeable lens, projectors, and medical equipment. It has a strategic partnership with TCL Electronics Holdings Limited in the home entertainment sector; and a non-binding memorandum of understanding with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited for a strategic partnership regarding the development and manufacturing of image sensors. The company was formerly known as Sony Corporation and changed its name to Sony Group Corporation in April 2021. Sony Group Corporation was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

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