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SMMTSummit Therapeutics Inc.Sell5.0·$14.19+8.49%
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Summit Therapeutics Inc. (SMMT) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.57; Below-average business quality.

Summit Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing ivonescimab, a PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody licensed from Akeso, for NSCLC and colorectal cancer globally. The company submitted a BLA in Q4 2025 with an FDA PDUFA date of November 14, 2026; it... Read more

$14.19+76.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#105 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield0.69%
Stop $13.03Target $24.78(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.1:1
Analyst target$28.48+100.7%13 analysts
$24.78our TP
$14.19price
$28.48mean
$8
$45

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.57; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202659d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: ivonescimab
Concentration risk — Supplier: Akeso
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-11.1
Mkt Cap$10.2B
EV/EBITDA-7.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-271.0%
Rev Growth
Beta-1.31
DividendNone
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C1.57bearish
IV101%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelineivonescimab
    10-K Item 1A: 'We depend heavily on the success of ivonescimab. If we are unable to successfully develop and commercialize ivonescimab'
  • HIGHSupplierAkeso
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on the use of third parties, including Akeso, to manufacture our product candidate.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.2
Current Ratio
5.6
No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Volatile — 8.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
0.8
Debt Equity
1.3
Days To Cover
2.5
Put Call
2.9
News Risk
6.0
High short interest justified: 27%Elevated put/call: 1.57High IV: 101%Concentration risks: 2 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
2.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0
Growth Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5A.R:R 5.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 59d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $12.55Resistance $18.50

Price Targets

$13
$25
A.Upside+74.6%
A.R:R5.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (59d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SMMT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.19: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 27%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.57; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $13.03. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SMMT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.78 (+76.9% upside). Prior stop was $13.03. Stop-loss: $13.03.

What are the risks of investing in SMMT?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: ivonescimab; Concentration risk — Supplier: Akeso; Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is SMMT overvalued or undervalued?

Summit Therapeutics Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SMMT?

24 analysts cover SMMT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Summit Therapeutics Inc. do?Summit Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing ivonescimab, a PD-1/VEGF bispecific...

Summit Therapeutics is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company developing ivonescimab, a PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody licensed from Akeso, for NSCLC and colorectal cancer globally. The company submitted a BLA in Q4 2025 with an FDA PDUFA date of November 14, 2026; it generates no product revenue and funds operations through equity issuances.

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