Skip to main content
SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.Sell5.6·$92.82-2.07%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

SiteOne Landscape Supply offers 30% analyst upside with a strong 4.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio and rising earnings estimates, but a confirmed death cross, negative 2.6% monthly moving average decline, elevated put-to-call ratio of 2.62, and below-floor business quality scores make the near-term technical picture challenging for new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • High Analyst Upside With Improving EstimatesStable
  • Confirmed Death Cross DowntrendDeteriorating
  • Elevated Put Call Options CautionDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $92.82 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk Factors'' below. The following information should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and... Read more

$92.82+19.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 20 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.56%
Stop $89.94Target $110.56(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$127.08+36.9%12 analysts
$110.56our TP
$92.82price
$127.08mean
$160

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $92.82 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-12
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Positive insider activity
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.8
P/E (Fwd)18.4
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn3.4%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta1.34
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Vol Acceleration
2.9
Macd
3.6
Rsi
4.5
Volume
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.2%/30d — confirmed downtrendVolume surge (2.1x avg) on selloff

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Earnings Growth
4.0
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $92.72Resistance $102.29

Price Targets

$90
$111
A.Upside+19.1%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SITE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $92.82 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $89.94. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SITE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.56 (+19.1% upside). Prior stop was $89.94. Stop-loss: $89.94.

What are the risks of investing in SITE?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is SITE overvalued or undervalued?

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.8 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SITE?

19 analysts cover SITE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $127.

What does SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. do?Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk...

Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk Factors'' below. The following information should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, and the Financial Statements and Supplementary Data and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

Related stocks: GIC (Global Industrial Company) · QXO (QXO, Inc.) · DNOW (DNOW Inc.) · AIT (Applied Industrial Technologies) · XMTR (Xometry, Inc.)
Home Stocks SITE

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance54d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance145d ago
MarketBeat145d agoAnalyst
GuruFocus145d ago
Moomoo67d ago
Yahoo Finance47d agoEarnings
TradingKey48d ago
TradingView48d agoEarnings
TradingView139d agoEarnings
Fort Worth Report54d ago
Investing.com Australia55d ago
Yahoo Finance146d ago
Investor's Business Daily146d ago
GuruFocus62d agoAnalyst
TradingKey53d agoEarnings
Xã Vĩnh Công144d ago
Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai144d ago
TradingKey49d ago
Simplywall.st50d ago
Yahoo Finance64d ago
Loading more...