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SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.Sell5.5·$104.00
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

SiteOne Landscape Supply offers 30% analyst upside with a strong 4.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio and rising earnings estimates, but a confirmed death cross, negative 2.6% monthly moving average decline, elevated put-to-call ratio of 2.62, and below-floor business quality scores make the near-term technical picture challenging for new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • High Analyst Upside With Improving Estimates→Stable
  • Confirmed Death Cross Downtrend↑Improving
  • Elevated Put Call Options Caution→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 19, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $104.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk Factors'' below. The following information should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and... Read more

$104.00-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#9 of 19 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.10%
Stop $97.38Analyst target $103.89(reached)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst consensus$119.42+14.8%12 analysts
$104.00price
$119.42mean
$91
$160

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $104.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 84. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 2026Date unconfirmed· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive momentum
Positive insider activity
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.4
P/E (Fwd)20.4
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn3.4%
ROE10.1%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta1.39
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.84neutral
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.9
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
2.3
Gap
5.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.7
Earnings Growth
4.0
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
84 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $82.00Resistance $108.65

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (Date unconfirmed)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SITE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $104.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 84. Prior stop was $97.38. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SITE stock price target?

Analyst target $103.89 reached (−0.1% from $104.00); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $97.38. Stop-loss: $97.38.

What are the risks of investing in SITE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is SITE overvalued or undervalued?

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.4 (forward 20.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SITE?

19 analysts cover SITE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $119.

What does SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. do?Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk...

Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk Factors'' below. The following information should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, and the Financial Statements and Supplementary Data and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

Related stocks: QXO (QXO, Inc.) · DSGR (Distribution Solutions Group, I) · DNOW (DNOW Inc.) · GIC (Global Industrial Company) · AIT (Applied Industrial Technologies)
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