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GICGlobal Industrial CompanySell5.7·$30.73-0.19%
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Global Industrial Company (GIC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. At $30.73, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Global Industrial Company, through its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial distributor of various industrial and maintenance, repair, and operation (MRO) products in the United States and Canada. It offers storage and shelving products, safety and security products, carts... Read more

$30.73+10.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 17 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.19%
IncomeYield3.51%(5y avg 2.70%)Payout56.08%sustainable
Stop $29.35Target $34.00(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$40.00+30.2%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $30.73, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 84. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 56d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202656d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Overbought (RSI 84)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.3
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE24.3%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta0.77
Dividend3.51%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV79%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.4
Bollinger
2.0
52w Position
6.3
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 56d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
84 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.75Resistance $31.22

Price Targets

$29
$34
A.Upside+10.6%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (56d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GIC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $30.73, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 84. Prior stop was $29.35. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GIC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.00 (+10.6% upside). Prior stop was $29.35. Stop-loss: $29.35.

What are the risks of investing in GIC?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Overbought (RSI 84).

Is GIC overvalued or undervalued?

Global Industrial Company trades at a P/E of 16.3 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GIC?

8 analysts cover GIC with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Global Industrial Company do?Global Industrial Company, through its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial distributor of various industrial and...

Global Industrial Company, through its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial distributor of various industrial and maintenance, repair, and operation (MRO) products in the United States and Canada. It offers storage and shelving products, safety and security products, carts and trucks, HVAC and fans, furniture and decor, material handling products, janitorial and facility maintenance products, workbenches and shop desks, tools and instruments, plumbing and pumps, office and school supplies, packaging and shipping products, lighting and electrical products, foodservice and retail products, medical and laboratory products, motors and power transmission products, building supplies, machining products, fasteners and hardware, vehicle maintenance products, and raw materials. The company distributes its industrial and MRO products under the Global, GlobalIndustrial.com, Nexel, Paramount, Interion, and Absocold brands. The company serves for-profit and not-for-profit businesses; state, local, and private educational organizations; and government entities, including federal, state, and local municipalities through relationship marketers, e-commerce sites, and catalogs. The company was formerly known as Systemax Inc and changed its name to Global Industrial Company in June 2021. Global Industrial Company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Port Washington, New York.

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