Value
7.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 4.2 |
| P/S | 9.7 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.8 |
| Fwd P/E | 6.6 |
| PEG | 10.0 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 19.5x
- ▸PEG: 0.33
- ▸Attractively valued
SITE · Why this verdict
Why SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
4.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 3.3 |
| ROA | 3.0 |
| Gross margin | 3.0 |
| Op margin | 0.0 |
| Net margin | 1.6 |
| Current ratio | 8.0 |
| FCF quality | 7.9 |
| Moat | 4.5 |
| Piotroski F | 10.0 |
- ▸No competitive moat
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9
Growth
6.2/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 2.5 |
| EPS growth | 10.0 |
Momentum
1.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.0 |
| MACD | 0.0 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 1.0 |
| Volume | 0.0 |
- ▸Capitulation risk (RSI 28, below 200MA)
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
7.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Analyst rating | 7.0 |
| Price target | 9.7 |
| erm sentiment | 6.1 |
- ▸Analyst upside: 56%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Negligible insider buying — $119,146 (0.003% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
3.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 4.3 |
| quality rank | 2.7 |
| growth rank | 0.6 |
Technical
6.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 8.5 |
| support resistance | 8.9 |
| 52w position | 2.3 |
Risk (lower is worse)
4.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 6.4 |
| days to cover | 7.8 |
| volatility | 3.5 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 3.7 |
| max pain risk | 5.0 |
| beta | 5.6 |
| debt equity | 6.9 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 3.00
Catalyst
6.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 6.5 |
| earnings history | 5.6 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 8.3 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (6)
- ASYMMETRY:5.0>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:50d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:1.0<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
4.95
Upside
+35.4%
Downside
7.2%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupFALLING_KNIFE — Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 28, MACD bearish
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 1.36>1.3, MCap $4.7B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.1 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 7.6) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:1.0<4.5, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 4.95 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 7.6, Value at 7.3, and Technical at 6.6; the weakest are Momentum at 1.0, Peer rank at 3.2, and Quality at 4.6. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 4.95 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.