Skip to main content
SHWSherwin-Williams Company (The)Hold5.3·$317.30+0.13%
Open full analysis

Sherwin-Williams Company (The) (SHW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $317.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5.

Sherwin-Williams manufactures and sells paint, coatings, and related products through its Paint Stores Group (4,853 company-operated stores), Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group, serving customers in 120+ countries. Foreign subsidiaries contributed ~19.6% of... Read more

$317.30+5.8% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#21 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.73%
IncomeYield1.01%(5y avg 0.87%)Payout30.45%sustainable
Stop $301.68Target $335.65(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$372.95+17.5%20 analysts
$335.65our TP
$317.30price
$372.95mean
$420

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $317.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-14
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.8%
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.5
P/E (Fwd)24.0
Mkt Cap$78.3B
EV/EBITDA20.2
Profit Mgn10.9%
ROE60.7%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta1.13
Dividend1.01%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.32bullish
IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
1.9
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.8

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.5
Revenue Growth
4.2
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $289.86Resistance $323.57

Price Targets

$302
$336
A.Upside+5.8%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SHW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $317.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $335.65 (+5.8%), stop $301.68 (−5.2%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the SHW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $335.65 (+5.8% upside). Target $335.65 (+5.8%), stop $301.68 (−5.2%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $301.68.

What are the risks of investing in SHW?

Thin upside margin: 5.8%; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.3): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is SHW overvalued or undervalued?

Sherwin-Williams Company (The) trades at a P/E of 30.5 (forward 24.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SHW?

28 analysts cover SHW with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $373.

What does Sherwin-Williams Company (The) do?Sherwin-Williams manufactures and sells paint, coatings, and related products through its Paint Stores Group (4,853...

Sherwin-Williams manufactures and sells paint, coatings, and related products through its Paint Stores Group (4,853 company-operated stores), Consumer Brands Group, and Performance Coatings Group, serving customers in 120+ countries. Foreign subsidiaries contributed ~19.6% of consolidated net sales in 2025; no individual customer exceeded 10% of sales. In Oct 2025, the company completed the ~$525M acquisition of Suvinil in Brazil.

Related stocks: SQM (Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A.) · ALB (Albemarle Corporation) · ESI (Element Solutions Inc.) · RPM (RPM International Inc.) · PPG (PPG Industries, Inc.)
Home Stocks SHW

Latest news

Latest News

PR Newswire54d ago
Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La55d ago
UBND thành phố Hải Phòng55d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance55d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat55d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance55d agoEarnings
MarketBeat55d agoEarnings
The Globe and Mail53d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat53d ago
MarketBeat54d ago
MarketBeat50d ago
MarketBeat51d ago
MarketBeat52d ago
TIKR.com59d ago
MarketBeat49d ago
StockStory50d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative56d ago
Insider Monkey52d ago
Yahoo Finance52d agoEarnings
Simplywall.st53d ago
Loading more...